Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal
Vol 8 No 3 (2026): Edisi September

Estimasi Premi Reasuransi Menggunakan Teori Nilai Ekstrem dengan Penyesuaian Keterlambatan Pembayaran Klaim

Putri Isnaini Cahyaning Baiti (Program Studi Sains Aktuaria, Fakultas Sains, Institut Teknologi Sumatera)
Tiara Yulita (Program Studi Sains Aktuaria, Fakultas Sains, Institut Teknologi Sumatera)
Aldila Nur Indah Berliana Ratam (Program Studi Sains Aktuaria, Fakultas Sains, Institut Teknologi Sumatera)
Marisa (Program Studi Sains Aktuaria, Fakultas Sains, Institut Teknologi Sumatera)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Sep 2026

Abstract

Extreme losses play an important role in reinsurance pricing, particularly for excess-of-loss contracts where classical parametric models often fail to adequately capture tail risk. Extreme Value Theory (EVT) provides a theoretically justified framework for modeling heavy-tailed insurance losses; however, most existing studies focus mainly on claim severity and ignore operational characteristics such as claim payment delay. This study proposes an EVT-based reinsurance premium estimation framework that incorporates claim payment delay as a risk modifier. Using a peaks over threshold approach, exceedances above a high threshold are modeled by the Generalized Pareto Distribution, and tail-based reinsurance premiums are derived under the net premium principle. An empirical application using claim data shows that claim severity exhibits heavy-tailed behavior and that EVT provides an adequate fit to extreme losses. Furthermore, incorporating payment delay leads to systematically higher estimated reinsurance premiums, indicating the importance of considering settlement dynamics in pricing. The proposed framework provides a practical extension of EVT-based reinsurance premium estimation by integrating tail risk and operational risk in a unified approach.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

MANDALIKA

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Mandalika Mathematics and Education Journal adalah Jurnal Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematika yang dikelola oleh Program Studi S1 Pendidikan Matematika FKIP Universitas Mataram. Fokus dan ruang lingkup dari jurnal ini adalah artikel ilmiah baik berupa hasil penelitian, review artikel maupun kajian ...