Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi
Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026): September : Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi

Pengaruh Inflasi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran di Indonesia Tahun 2015–2024

Ananda Erwin Yuliartha (Universitas Jendral Soedirman)
Fadhil Daniyal Rabbany (Universitas Jenderal Soedirman)
Dijan Rahajuni (Universitas Jenderal Soedirman)
Oki Anggraeni (Universitas Jenderal Soedirman)



Article Info

Publish Date
05 Oct 2026

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of inflation on Indonesia's unemployment rate from 2015 to 2024. Using a descriptive-verificative quantitative approach and simple linear regression, secondary time-series data from BPS and BI were examined. The regression model produced Y = 4.969 + 0.142X. The t-test yielded a significance value of 0.299 (> 0.05), indicating that inflation has a positive but statistically insignificant effect on open unemployment. The coefficient of determination (R²) is 13.4%, showing that inflation weakly explains unemployment variations, while 86.6% depends on external factors. This finding contradicts the classical Phillips Curve due to structural anomalies, particularly the COVID-19 pandemic shock where unemployment spiked despite low inflation. Consequently, government employment policies should not rely solely on monetary stability but must integrate labor-intensive investments and human resource development. 

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jupea

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Accounting: Akuntansi Keuangan, Akuntansi Manajemen, Akuntansi Pajak, Audit, Akuntansi Biaya, Akuntansi Sektor Publik, Akuntansi UMKM. Economics: Ekonomi Makro, Ekonomi Mikro, Ekonomi Perkotaan, Penilaian Properti, Ekonomi Islam, Lembaga Keuangan Perbanka Manajemen: Manajemen Pemasaran, Manajemen ...