Journal of Information Systems and Informatics
Vol 8 No 5 (2026): October

A Multimetric Evaluation of Ensemble and Neural Models for Imbalanced Credit Scoring on the German Credit Dataset

Rino (Universitas Buddhi Dharma)
Aditiya Hermawan (Universitas Buddhi Dharma)
Elfindah Princes (University of Manchester)
Satria Abadi (Sultan Idris Education University)
Umarkhon Mukhamedov (University of Science and Technologies)



Article Info

Publish Date
24 Oct 2026

Abstract

Credit scoring models must balance global discrimination, minority-class detection, probability quality, and computational efficiency, particularly when default cases are less frequent than non-default cases. This study benchmarks Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, and a Multilayer Perceptron using the German Credit Dataset, which contains 1,000 borrower records. All models were evaluated using a consistent preprocessing, partitioning, and imbalance-aware training protocol. Performance was assessed through ROC-AUC, PR-AUC, Balanced Accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, Brier Score, and computational time. The results indicate moderate predictive performance across the evaluated models. XGBoost achieved the highest global discrimination with a ROC-AUC of 0.764, whereas the MLP obtained the highest PR-AUC of 0.378 and the lowest Brier Score of 0.123, indicating the best native probability quality among the evaluated models. No post-hoc probability calibration was applied. However, the MLP produced lower recall at the selected classification threshold. Logistic Regression required the least computation but recorded the lowest ROC-AUC and PR-AUC. Exploratory SHAP analysis was used to identify influential borrower attributes. These benchmark-specific findings demonstrate that model selection depends on the intended decision objective rather than architectural complexity alone.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

isi

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Journal-ISI is a scientific article journal that is the result of ideas, great and original thoughts about the latest research and technological developments covering the fields of information systems, information technology, informatics engineering, and computer science, and industrial engineering ...