Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Syariah
Vol 5 No 3 (2026): Desember 2026

Model Analisis Prediksi Kebangkrutan Bank Umum Syariah dan Bank Umum Konvensional Menggunakan Model Altman Z-Score, Springate dan Zmijewski Perspektif Ekonomi Islam: Bankruptcy Prediction Analysis Model for Islamic Commercial Banks and Conventional Commercial Banks Using the Altman Z-Score, Springate, and Zmijewski Models: An Islamic Economic Perspective

Widia (Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung)
Ersi Sisdianto (Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung)
IS Susanto (Universitas Islam Negeri Raden Intan Lampung)



Article Info

Publish Date
17 Oct 2026

Abstract

This study aims to analyze and compare the potential for financial distress in Islamic Commercial Banks (ICBs) and conventional commercial banks during the 2021–2025 period using the Altman Z-Score, Springate S-Score, and Zmijewski X-Score models. The study employs a descriptive-comparative quantitative approach using secondary data in the form of annual financial statements of Bank Syariah Indonesia, Bank BTPN Syariah, Bank Mandiri, and Bank Rakyat Indonesia. The five-year observation period resulted in 20 observations. The data were processed using Microsoft Excel through the calculation of financial ratios, scores for each model, classification based on the respective cut-off values, and comparison of results across banks and models. The results show that Bank Syariah Indonesia, Bank Mandiri, and Bank Rakyat Indonesia exhibited relatively consistent indications of distress or potential distress based on the three models. Bank BTPN Syariah showed different results across the models, being classified within the Grey Zone based on the Altman Z-Score, as unhealthy/potentially distressed based on the Springate S-Score, and as non-distressed based on the Zmijewski X-Score. Comparatively, the Altman Z-Score and Springate S-Score produced higher average values for Islamic Commercial Banks than for conventional commercial banks, while the Zmijewski X-Score showed the opposite pattern. These findings indicate that the simultaneous use of multiple prediction models can provide a more comprehensive picture of potential financial distress, as each model has different financial ratio characteristics and sensitivities.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jkubs

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Journal Keuangan dan Perbankan Syariah (JKUBS) merupakan jurnal open access sebagai tempat bagi para akademisi, peneliti, praktisi, regulator dan masyarakat baik nasional maupun internasional untuk mempublikasikan makalah ilmiah. Hasil penelitian tersebut terkait pada bidang keuangan dan perbankan ...