his study examines how well educational background predicts the competence of Islamic Education (Pendidikan Agama Islam/PAI) teachers who graduated from UIN Saizu Purwokerto. The study used a quantitative, correlational-causal (ex post facto) design. Researchers distributed a closed questionnaire with a 4-point Likert scale via Google Form to 50 PAI alumni who were actively teaching, selected through purposive sampling. Educational background (X) comprised academic achievement, teaching practicum (PPL) experience, and student organizational involvement. Teacher competence (Y) was measured across pedagogical, professional, personality, and social dimensions as set out in Permendiknas No. 16 of 2007. All items exceeded the critical item–total correlation threshold in this sample, with Cronbach’s Alpha of .619 (X) and .948 (Y), and the data were normally distributed. Simple linear regression showed a positive and significant effect (t = 7.008; Sig. = .000; R² = .506; Y = 85.250 + .960X). Roughly half of the variance in self-reported competence is associated with undergraduate experience, yet this is better read as a strong association than as a causal relationship. The findings underline the value of applied coursework, supervised PPL, and structured student organizations for PAI study programs.
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