Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi Komunikasi dan Industri
2011: SNTIKI 3

APPLYING ADAPTIVE NEURO FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEM APPROACH TO RIVER LEVEL FORECASTING

Imam Suprayogi (Civil Engineering of Department, Faculty of Engineering University of Riau)
Joleha Joleha (Civil Engineering of Department, Faculty of Engineering University of Riau)
Nurdin Nurdin (Civil Engineering of Department, Faculty of Engineering University of Riau)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Oct 2011

Abstract

River level  forecasting is quite important for reservoir operation studies, flood planning and control, modeling and management water resources. In the last decade, the softcomputing model as a branch of the artificial intelligence science were introduction as a forecast tool beside knowledge based system, expert system, fuzzy logic, artificial neural network, and genetic algorithm. The method that used in this research was a combination between fuzzy logic and artificial neural network which usually called neuro fuzzy system of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) algorithm approach was used construct a river level forecasting system. The advantages of this method is that is use input- output data sets. In particular, the applicability of  ANFIS as an estimation model for river flow was investigated. To illustrate the applicability and capability the ANFIS, the River Indragiri, located the Indragiri Hulu Residence and the most important water resources of Indragiri  catchment’s, was choosen as a case study area. To totally 1997-2008 annual data sets collected years were used to estimate the River level. The models having various input structures were constructed and the best structure was investigated. In addition four various training / testing data were constructed by cross validation methods and the best data set was investigated. The performance  of the ANFIS models in training and testing sets were compared with the observation and also evaluated. The results indicated that the ANFIS can be applied successfully and provide high accuracy and reliability for River level  estimation in Indragiri River. Keywords : Forecasting, River level, Artificial Neural Network, Fuzzy Logic, Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SNTIKI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mathematics

Description

SNTIKI adalah Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi, Komunikasi dan Industri yang diselenggarakan setiap tahun oleh Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi Universitas Islam Negeri Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau. ISSN 2579 7271 (Print) | ISSN 2579 5406 ...