Jurnal ULTIMATICS
Vol 3 No 2 (2011): Ultimatics: Jurnal Ilmu Teknik Informatika

Penerapan Logika Samar dalam Peramalan Data Runtun Waktu

Seng Hansun (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Dec 2011

Abstract

Recently, there are so many soft computing methods been used in time series analysis. One of these methods is fuzzy logic system. In this paper, we will try to implement fuzzy logic system to predict a non-stationary time series data. The data we use here is Mackey-Glass chaotic time series. We also use MATLAB software to predict the time series data, which have been divided into four groups of input-output pairs. These groups then will be used as the input variables of the fuzzy logic system. There are two scenarios been used in this paper, first is by using seven fuzzy sets, and second is by using fifteen fuzzy sets. The result shows that the fuzzy system with fifteen fuzzy sets give a better forecasting result than the fuzzy system with seven fuzzy sets. Index Terms—forecasting, fuzzy logic, Mackey-Glass chaotic, MATLAB, time series analysis

Copyrights © 2011






Journal Info

Abbrev

TI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal ULTIMATICS merupakan Jurnal Program Studi Teknik Informatika Universitas Multimedia Nusantara yang menyajikan artikel-artikel penelitian ilmiah dalam bidang analisis dan desain sistem, programming, algoritma, rekayasa perangkat lunak, serta isu-isu teoritis dan praktis yang terkini, mencakup ...