International Journal of Supply Chain Management
Vol 1, No 1 (2012): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)

Identification of Risk Factors in Globally Outsourced Software Projects using Logistic Regression and ANN

R. P. Mohanty (SOA University)
G. Sahoo (Birla Institute of Technology)
Jyotirmoy Dasgupta (Bibidha Consultancy Service)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Jul 2012

Abstract

Abstract Global supply chains are often critically dependent upon globally outsourced Information Technology (IT) and Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) projects. Effective risk assessment and mitigation of these projects is therefore of great importance for such supply chains. Traditional risk management techniques used so far in IT and BPO projects have depended almost entirely on the Expected Utility Theory that computes risk exposure as the product of risk probability and risk impact. Although this method is considered the gold standard in risk assessment, it has severe limitations due to the fact that accurate computation of risk probability and impact is difficult. In this and earlier papers, we have advocated the use of risk factors in conjunction with other existing methods for risk assessment. Risk factors are conditions that affect project performance. In this paper, we use Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based methods on a set of globally outsourced projects to predict project performance and to rank the relative importance of project risk factors. Although in this paper these techniques have been tested in outsourced IT projects, these can also be used in identifying and determining project risk factors in other industries. Keywords Outsourced projects, Risk Management, Risk Factors, Logistic Regression, Artificial Neural Networks

Copyrights © 2012






Journal Info

Abbrev

IJSCM

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Transportation

Description

International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM) is a peer-reviewed indexed journal, ISSN: 2050-7399 (Online), 2051-3771 (Print), that publishes original, high quality, supply chain management empirical research that will have a significant impact on SCM theory and practice. Manuscripts ...