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INDONESIA
Indonesian Capital Market Review
Published by Universitas Indonesia
ISSN : 19798997     EISSN : 23563818     DOI : https://doi.org/10.7454/icmr
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
The intent of the Editors of The Indonesian Capital Market Review is to discuss, to explore, and to disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The topics cover capital markets, financial institutions and services, corporate finance, risk modeling and management, market microstructure in financial markets, Islamic finance, behavioral finance, and financial crisis. By submitting your work to the Indonesian Capital Market Review (ICMR), the author(s) automatically agree to transfer the copyright to ICMR, if the submitted paper is accepted for publication.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Keuangan
Articles 5 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol. 3, No. 1" : 5 Documents clear
Risk and Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs) Return: Evidence from Listed Public Trust Mohamad, Nor Edi Azhar Binti; Saad, Noriza Mohd; Bakar, Suzaida
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 3, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study examines an association of risk and returns of REITs from Malaysian REITs listed companies. The secondary data for analysis is retrieved from Bloomberg's Database of all 13 listed REITs in the Bursa Malaysia main market for three year period, from 2007 to 2009 with quarterly observation. The dependent variables are average return, expected return using Capital Asset Pricing Model, Sharpe Index, and Jensen Alpha Index. The independent variables represented by standard deviation, beta, trading volume, gross domestic product, inlation rate, and share price. The control variable for this study is type of REITs, whether it was categorized as Islamic or conventional REITs. Applying correlations and multiple regression analysis, the results provide evidence on the association between return and risk on REITs. This study is also hoped to bring beneits to the public listed company and shareholders in obtaining the key factors in determining the REITs yield.
An Evaluation of Indonesian Capital Market Co-integration with ASEAN 4 to Enter the ASEAN Capital Market Integration in Accordance to ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2020 Scheme: Should Indonesia Enter or Postpone? Suryanta, Barli
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 3, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community (AEC) 2020 has already been declared on 7 October 2003 by ASEAN Concord II in Bali, Indonesia. In general, AEC was designed to prepare ASEAN countries for ASEAN economic integration within the next 10-15 year. ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) had actually been launched since 1992 though was not comprehensive enough and kept ASEAN only partially integrated. To overcome it, ASEAN proposed inancial integration through capital market integration based on AEC commitment in order to reach comprehensive ASEAN economic integration. Indonesia is one of the ASEAN members that is linked by AEC 2020. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate Indonesian capital market co-integration in entering the ASEAN capital market integration compared to those of ASEAN 4. To examine the notion of the Indonesian capital market integration within ASEAN region, cointegration model is utilised to igure out co-integration between Indonesian stock market indices and ASEAN 4, i.e., Singapore, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand. In addition, Vector Auto-regression (VAR) model is also utilised to examine Indonesian market returns co-movement and dynamic link with ASEAN 4. The conclusions of this research, i.e. co-integration between Indonesian capital market with Singaporean, Malaysian, Philippines, and Thailand does not exist; there is neither co-movement nor strong dynamic link between Indonesian capital market with those of Singaporean, Malaysian, Philippines, and Thailand. This paper also recommends Indonesia to postpone the integration of its capital market into the integrated ASEAN capital market.
Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus: The Moroccan Case Abouch, Mohamed; Ezzahid, Elhadj
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 3, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The issues of the existence and the direction of causality between inance and growth are not yet settled. Even if theoretical and historical evidences suggest an important contribution of inance to foster economic growth, empirical studies provide conlicting results depending upon analytical approaches, econometric techniques, and used data sets. The empirical exploration of the links between the development of the Moroccan inancial sector (MFS) and the economic performance of the country shed some light on the proile of this relationship. It appears that even if the indicators measuring the degree of development of the MFS have steadily evolved, they are not systematically and signiicantly linked with economic growth. This situation may be explained by the characteristics of the MFS and the existence of other factors, not related to this sector, that hinder economic growth.
Early Warning System in ASEAN Countries Using Capital Market Index Return: Modiied Markov Regime Switching Model Wahyudi, Imam; Luxianto, Rizky; Suryaputri, Niken Iwani; Sulung, Liyu Adhika Sari
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 3, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

Asia's financial crisis in July 1997 affects currency, capital market, and real market throughout Asian countries. Countries in southeast region (ASEAN), including Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, are some of the countries where the crisis hit the most. In these countries, where financial sectors are far more developed than real sectors and the money market sectors, most of the economic activities are conducted in capital market. Movement in the capital market could be a proxy to describe the overall economic situation and therefore the prediction of it could be an early warning system of economic crises. This paper tries to investigate movement in ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand) capital market to build an early warning system from financial sectors perspective. This paper will be very beneficial for the government to anticipate the forthcoming crisis. The insight of this paper is from Hamilton (1990) model of regime switching process in which he divide the movement of currency into two regimes, describe the switching transition based on Markov process and creates different model for each regimes. Differ from Hamilton, our research focuses on index return instead of currency to model the regime switching. This research aimed to ind the probability of crisis in the future by combining the probability of switching and the probability distribution function of each regime. Probability of switching is estimated by categorizing the movement in index return into two regimes (negative return in regime 1 and positive return in regime 2) then measuring the proportion of switching to regime 1 in t given regime 1 in t-1 (P11) and to regime 2 in t given regime 2 in t-1 (P22). The probability distribution function of each regime is modeled using t-student distribution. This paper is able to give signal of the 1997/8 crisis few periods prior the crisis.
Role of Indian Commodity Derivatives Market in Hedging Price Risk: Estimation of Constant and Dynamic Hedge Ratio, and Hedging Effectiveness Kumar, Brajesh; Pandey, Ajay
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 3, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This paper examines hedging effectiveness of four agricultural (soybean, corn, castor seed and guar seed) and seven non-agricultural (gold, silver, aluminium, copper, zinc, crude oil and, natural gas) futures contracts traded in India, using VECM and CCC-MGARCH model to estimate constant hedge ratio and dynamic hedge ratios, respectively. We ind that agricultural futures contracts provide higher hedging effectiveness (30-70%) as compared to non-agricultural futures (20%). In the more recent period, the hedging effectiveness of Indian futures markets has increased. When hedging effectiveness of non-agricultural Indian futures contracts with the world spot markets (NYMEX and LME) is analyzed, hedging effectiveness increases dramatically which indicates the fact that Indian futures contracts are more effective for hedging exposures to global prices. Other reasons of lower hedging effectiveness of Indian futures contracts may be low awareness of futures markets among participants, high transaction costs in the futures markets, policy restrictions, inadequate contract design, or high transaction costs in the spot market. These are, of course, expected birth pays for a nascent futures markets in an emerging economy.

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