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The Determinants of Financial Distress in Emerging Country: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia
Rathria Arrina Rachman
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.7891
This research strives to foresee corporate financial distress by applying three different perspectives that cover firms’ internal and external conditions namely accounting-based, market-based and macroeconomic models. Financially distressed and non-distressed corporations are analyzed using binomial logistic regression. Seven different models are employed to observe the effects of ten independent variables on financial distress, as well as to predict more accurately the possibility of firms defaulting. By exploring 257 public corporations listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange over 10 years and utilizing 2,570 observations, the main finding suggests that when the accounting, market, and macroeconomic models are combined, it provides a better understanding of corporate failure than either model. Moreover, the results also indicate five factors that significantly determine the likelihood of a company’s financial distress: liquidity, profitability, asset productivity, market capitalization, and leverage. Accordingly, companies should keep a close watch on their accounting ratios and market indicators carefully to avoid bankruptcy. This research contributes to the finance and economic literature by paving the way for the development of an alternative perspective for predicting corporate failure in emerging markets.
The Effect of Fintech Loans on Commercial Bank Margin
Afnizal Zulfan Ariffandi;
Irwan Trinugroho
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.7865
This study aims to examine how far competition between commercial banks and fintech firms impacts the margins of commercial banks in Indonesia. Panel data regression analysis using the random-effects model was conducted on the financial data of 84 commercial banks from 2018 to 2021. This study found that the growth of fintech firms did not affect decreasing commercial banks’ margins. However, fintech loans’ growth was found to significantly and negatively effecting commercial banks’ margins, Meaning that fintech loans’ growth decreases the margins of commercial banks in Indonesia. Bank size, non-performing loan (NPL), and capital ratios do not significantly affect commercial banks’ margins. This research ultimately provides input for making fintech interest rate policies and also input for commercial banks to adopt technology so that they do not seem old-fashioned and convoluted. This research only examines the influence of fintech firms on commercial banks, so future research could examine the effect on different types of banks, such as Islamic banks and rural banks.
COVID-19 Pandemic, Dividend Policy, and Stock Market Reaction: Evidence from the Manufacturing Companies in Indonesia
Powell Gian Hartono;
Muhammad Yaasiin Raya
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.8226
This study aimed to examine the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on the dividend policy of Indonesia’s manufacturing companies and the stock market reaction to this corporate action in 2020. The purposive sampling technique was used to select 87 manufacturing companies to examine the impact of the crisis on dividend policy from 2014 to 2020, while the market reaction was tested on 42 companies. Data were analyzed using the dynamic panel data regression with the SYS-GMM estimation method, as well as the one sample T-test and the Wilcoxon sign-ranked tests. The findings showed that Indonesia’s manufacturing companies formulated a positive dividend policy during the COVID-19 pandemic. The stock market reaction to this corporate action was weak, meaning it became sluggish during a crisis. These results indicate that the effort to signal the market positively was ineffective. Therefore, companies must formulate corporate actions or other managerial policies to reduce capital market sluggishness in crisis. They should also implement an optimal dividend policy to increase their value to contribute to the Indonesian economy, specifically in crisis conditions, such as the COVID-19 pandemic.
Impact of Earning Volatility, Real Earnings Management and Accruals on Investment Policy: Evidence From Indonesia
I Dewa Made Endiana;
Putu Diah Kumalasari
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.7992
This study aims to analyze earnings volatility, real earnings management activities, and accruals on the company's investment policy. The sample used is manufacturing companies on the Indonesian stock exchange as many as 117 companies with a total of 351 observations during the 2018-2020 period. This study used 2 models, each of which was tested using linear regression. The results showed that earnings volatility increased management motivation in carrying out accrual earnings management practices and real earnings management through the manipulation of production costs by managers, but the effect of greater volatility was found in the real earnings management model. Accrual earnings management has an effect on the company's over-under investment policy, while real earnings management through operating cash flow and production costs has no significant effect on investment policy. Accrual earnings management is able to increase the company's over-under investment policy
The Role of Financial Literacy, Access of Finance, Financial Risk Attitude on Financial Performance. Study on SMEs Jogjakarta
R. Heru - Kristanto HC
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.7936
Micro, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) contribute significantly to economic development. Financial literacy, access to finance, and attitudes toward financial risk play a key role in improving the performance of SME participants. The primary aim of this study is to examine the impact of financial literacy on access to finance, attitudes to financial risk, and financial performance. The impact of financial literacy on home improvement financial performance examines the mediators of access to finance and attitudes to financial risk. Statistical analysis model used mediated regression. The research sample is the Actors' SMEs in Yogyakarta. The sampling technique was purposive sampling. Respondents were SMEs as many as 276 entrepreneurs. The mediation regression analysis tool uses PLS. The results of the research show: 1) Financial literacy has a positive effect on financial performance. 2) Financial literacy has a positive impact on access to finance. 3) Access to finance mediates the impact of financial literacy on financial performance. 4) Financial literacy has a positive impact on attitudes toward financial risk. 5) Attitudes to financial risk mediate the impact of financial literacy on financial performance. Survey results recommend the importance of improving financial literacy, easy access to finance, and attitudes toward financial risks. You need the ability to analyze small business risks to improve your company's financial performance and sustainability. Providing financial education to entrepreneurs requires the will of state agencies, the entrepreneurs themselves, and educational institutions.
Could Size Moderate Managerial Ownership, Institutional Ownership, and Audit Quality of Tax Avoidance Occurs in Southeast Asia’s Banking?
Dinda Rahmatur Melyaningrum;
Supriyati - Supriyati;
Dewi - Murdiawati;
Kadek Pranetha Prananjaya
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.8372
This study aims to determine the effect of managerial ownership, institutional ownership, and audit quality on tax avoidance and to determine the role of firm size as a moderator in strengthening or weakening the influence of the three independent variables on tax avoidance. The population used in this study is the financial statements and annual reports of banking companies in Southeast Asia which are available on the stock exchange sites of each country and the official websites of related companies in the 2015-2019 period. The sampling technique is used a purposive sampling method with the final result of as many as 144 units of analysis. Analysis of the data used is Multiple Linear Regression Analysis to determine the independent influence variables on dependence and Moderation Regression Analysis to determine the role of moderating variables. The result shows that managerial ownership and audit quality do not affect tax avoidance, while institutional ownership can negatively affect tax avoidance. Moderation analysis shows that firm size can affect independent institutional ownership variables and audit quality on tax avoidance. However, managerial ownership does not affect tax avoidance.
Effect of CEO Compensation on Corporate Tax Avoidance (CTA) and Role of Audit Quality as Moderation Variable
Kadarisman Hidayat
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.8705
This research aims to investigate the influence of CEO Compensation on Corporate Tax Avoidance (CTA) and examine the role of Audit Quality (AQ) as a moderating variable that can increase the influence of CEO compensation on CTA. This study employed quantitative research by moderated regression analysis (MRA) with the STATA program, and this method used the annual report of firms listed on the Indonesian stock exchange from the 2018-2020 period with a sample of 195 firms. The results showed that CEO compensation influences CTA as measured by DER. That is, the higher CEO compensation made the company can improve CTA. The results of this research also show that Audit Quality (AQ) as a moderation variable is proven empirically able to decrease the influence of CEO compensation on CTA.
The Influence of Government Information and Response Related to COVID-19 in Indonesia Stock Market
Agus Diemas Prayoga;
sung suk kim
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.8173
COVID-19 is a global health pandemic that is currently sweeping the world and had huge impact on the world economy. Currently, all countries, including Indonesia, are paying attention to how the development of this pandemic is, as evidenced by the many media that inform the development of the pandemic and the response given by the government in overcoming it. This study was conducted with the aim of investigating how the influence provided by government information and policies related to COVID-19 on returns and stock volatility in Indonesia. Empirical findings from this study show that information on the COVID-19 pandemic (GSVI Covid), the number of positive cases, death rates, and the government tightening index during the pandemic, seem to have a negative effect on stock returns and vice versa have a positive effect on volatility. Meanwhile, with the information on the COVID-19 vaccine (GSVI Vaksin), fiscal policy in the form of growth in government spending, as well as monetary policy in the form of growth in the money supply is said to have a positive influence on stock returns, as well as reduce excessive volatility in the market.
Corporate governance and leverage on firm value: Evidence of Indonesian large firms
Perdana Wahyu Santosa;
Any Setianingrum;
Chadra Yusuf
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.7664
This paper aims at the nexus of corporate governance, leverage, and firm value of selected Indonesian large firms in the 2014-2019 period. Specifically, the study is concerned about the effect of independent commissioner board size, institutional ownership, and audit committee size as proxies of corporate governance on firm value. The controlling variables are leverage and firm age. Panel regression analyzed secondary data collected from the LQ-45 index at Indonesia Stock Exchange firms as the large firms. The findings show that institutional ownership positively impacted firm value. However, the independent commissioner and audit committee exerted insignificant influence. The study results further showed that firm age and leverage significantly negatively impact firm value, respectively. Decisively, findings from this paper reflect that corporate governance positively influences firm value significantly. The study recommended that corporate governance dynamics in firms be empowered and re-examined, especially the audit committee's effectiveness. Both firm age and leverage do not affect productivity and firm value. The audit committee's role is more than optimal in carrying out the supervisory and control functions of the corporate management so that the responsibility of the management is considered transparent and results in an increase in shareholder trust. It is also recommended that the increase in firm age and excessive leverage be balanced with the creation of innovation and productivity of large firms.
Exchange Rate, Stock Return, and Bond Return in Indonesia: An ARDL Approach
Ghazali Syamni;
Sawitri Sawitri;
Rizal Ansari;
Rasyimah Rasyimah;
Husaini Husaini
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 26, No 4 (2022): OCTOBER 2022
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang
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DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v26i4.8398
The purpose of this research is to investigate the relationship between the Indonesian exchange rate, stock return, and bond return. This study uses time series data in monthly frequencies from sources Thomson Reuters and Bank Indonesia during the period January 2010 to December 2020. This paper uses quantitative research by employing the Autoregression Distribution Lage (ARDL) approach to analyze the causal relationship between variables in this study. According to the results of the ARDL estimation, changes in exchange rates were inversely related to stock returns. Various findings were also found, demonstrating that changes in exchange rates were positively related to bond returns. Stock and bond returns, on the other hand, were inversely related. According to this study, when there is uncertainty in the stock market, investors would rebalance their portfolios. When investors move their money to safer places or safe havens, this is known as the "flight to quality" phenomena.