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Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Published by Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta
ISSN : 14116081     EISSN : 24609331     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan is a scientific journal that contains the results of theoretical research and studies on economic and development issues. Managed by Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta. Published by Muhammadiyah University Press.
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Articles 8 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue " Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005" : 8 Documents clear
FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHIKURS RUPIAH TERHADAP YEN TAHUN 1970 - 2002: ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM) Karunia, Nurul Yuniataqwa; Cahyadin, Malik
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.4000

Abstract

This research aims to find out factors influencing the exchange rate of rupiah toward yen. The approach used to analyze time series data in this study is monetary approach with ECM as the chosen regression model. The year of observation was begun in 1970-2002. Based on regression which done, the result showed that there is the significant correlation between independent variable (MI,Yreal, NP1) with dependent variable (exchange rate of Rupiah fYen). The correlation happens either in long or short term.
ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA HUTANG LUAR NEGERI DENGAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN PENDAPATAN DAN BELANJA NEGARA INDONESIA TAHUN 1978 - 2003: PENDEKATAN ERROR CORRECTION MODEL (ECM) Tesamaris, Andiarma; Nurhayati, Siti Fatimah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.3996

Abstract

National development in Indonesia needs the big enough number of funds. Principally, there are two kinds of the fund sources, i.e. the domestic funds and foreign funds. In fact, the number of domestic funds is often far smaller than that is needed, so forcing to search for alternative fund sources, namely, foreign loan. Foreign loan risk is big enough. The inflow of foreign loan will increase money in circulation, so that it can trigger inflation. On the other hand, it is obligation to pay in installment of the principal loan and its interest, which annually always burdens the national budget so that it results in larger deficit. All make economic situation more difficult for the future. While from year to year, the fund need in a country is increasingly bigger. It is interesting to study how causality correlation pattern between foreign loan and budget deficit. The result of this research showed that there are two-way causality correlations, namely, foreign loan influences budget deficit and budget deficit influences foreign loan.
ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA PENDAPATAN NASIONAL DENGAN SUKU BUNGA MENGGUNAKAN METODE FINAL PREDICTION ERROR (FPE) TAHUN 1997.1 - 2003.4 Arum W, Nurani; Purnomo, Didit
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.4001

Abstract

The objective of this research is to verify if the national income variable influences interest rate, or vice versa, the interest rate influences national income. The research is conducted by using causality test of Final Prediction Error which is method for determining the optimal length in the way minimizing FPE.Result of the test by using FPE showed that there is one datum showing GNP stationer variable demonstrating to Mackinnon critical values 5%, the best testing model is model which having the minimum AIC, and also on interest rate of bank of Indonesia (SBI) there is one datum of stationer showing that SBI stationer on Mackinnon critical values 5% demonstrating model 3 stationer which has minimal AIC value. The conclusion acquired from this research is that GNP causes SBI but SBI does not cause GNP because GNP variable is influenced by the previous time.
DAMPAK KRISIS TERHADAP PERMINTAAN UANG DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1994-2004 Darmansyah, Darmansyah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.3997

Abstract

The paper examines relationship of the demand for money in Indonesia with national income (GDP real), interest rate (time deposit interest rate (quarterly)), inflation rate (the growth ofCPI) and crisis (dummy, which 0 = before crisis (from 1994:1 to 1997:2) and 1 = crisis (from 1997:3 to 2004:4) and to determine which variable had the most dominant effect to demand for money and also to know the demand for money stability in Indonesia in 1994-2004 period. To know the effect of the independent variables to the dependent variable we using regression models with OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) method and to know the stability we using the dummy variable approach. The result of the regression show GDP real, interest rate, inflation and crisis had effect to demand for money Ml and M2, and the stability test find there is instability demand for money Ml andM.2 in Indonesia.
KETIMPANGAN DANA DAN PEMBIAYAAN DALAM NEGERI, HARUSKAH DIPENUHI DENGAN HUTANG LUAR NEGERI? Tarsilohadi, Edy Rahmantyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.4002

Abstract

This research examined the effect of the foreign debt toward the development of Indonesian economy by using caucality test: Final Prediction Error.Examination of the data, indicates the causality linkage between the foreign debt and the gross domestic product, vice versa; the causality linkage between the foreign debt and the depreciation of the rupiah.This result indicates that the foreign debt was failed to push economic.
ANALISIS KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1989 - 2002 (TINJAUAN TERHADAP HIPOTESIS KEYNES DAN POST KEYNES) Isyani, Isyani; Hasmarini, Maulidyah Indira
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.3998

Abstract

Consumption expenditure of Indonesian society encompasses 60 percent until 70 percent from GNP in Indonesia. Based on Post Keynes and Keynes hypothesis, the research investigated consumption pattern of Indonesian society by partial adjustment method of regression. By this regression method, balance adjustment model in long and short term can be estimated. Research period used is from 1989 until 2002 with the quarterly data. Variables which supposed influencing consumption of society and they are used in model in addition to national income are real interest rate, stock investment, money in circulation, and income tax. The result of this research showed that MPC is 0,8337, therefore it needs doing the effort to decrease MPC or at least to keep the value.
ANALISIS INDUSTRIROKOK KRETEK DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1976 - 2001 Santosa, Purbayu Budi; Rifai, Bahtiar
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.4003

Abstract

This research found that there is a positive significant relationship between concentration ratio and performance in cigarette industry but there is a negative no significant relationship between advertising behavioral and performance. These findings rather different to common SCP theory, especially in advertising behavioral and performance. The rationale behind these findings is advertising behavioral was not used as a product differentiation strategy or as a barrier to entry but as to increase concentration ratio. Anticigarette campaign in live style advertising supports this rationale. Another finding was a negative significant relationship between capital and performance. This finding completed labor-performance relationship argument with capital-performance relationship. However, the negative sign implicitly supported labor-intensive argument.
ANALISIS PENGARUH KESEMPATAN KERJA, TINGKAT BEBAN/TANGGUNGAN DAN PENDIDIKAN TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN DI PROPINSIDATIIJAWA TENGAH Soebagiyo, Daryono; Hasmarini, Maulidyah Indira; Chuzaimah, Chuzaimah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 6, No 2 (2005) : JEP Desember 2005
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v6i2.3999

Abstract

The objectives of this research are: to analyze influence of employment level, the other population burden level and the education level influences the unemployment in Central Java Province, as well as to find out how big the influence of each variable in short and long term, namely, job opportunity, the other population burden level and the education level i.e. elementary school, secondary school and high school toward unemployment in Central Java. This research was conducted in central Java, with secondary data which supported by the primary data from interviewing result with competent party.This research used Adaptive Expectancy Model as its analysis tools, namely, rationalization model which proposed by Nerlove (as in the Econometrics Gujarati book), namely, called as Stock Adjustment Model or Partial Adjustment Model (PAM)The result of this research acquired is for lower education, labor recruitment still can be done to decrease the unemployment level in the province. While for middle educational level, there is obstacle in recruitment of labors, even though; it still can be overcome because of the little relative. Yet, for the higher education, even though, in this analysis concluded that none of independent variable which used has the significant influence toward the dependent variable of unemployment, this is enabled because the higher education tends to search for the job not only in solely Central Java Province, but also they can search for the job in the other province that has leading sector of effort agreeing with that education. The higher education level is, then the lower the influence of burden level will not influence unemployment level either in short or long term is.

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