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A Data-Driven Framework Integrating Clustering and Classification for Fair Tuition Grouping (UKT) Prediction Windy Chikita Cornia Putri; Wiyli Yustanti; Ervin Yohannes; Yoyok Prastyo
Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control Vol. 11, No. 3, August 2026 (Article in Progress)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22219/kinetik.v11i3.2578

Abstract

This study aims to identify the most effective combination of feature selection techniques and classification algorithms for predicting student tuition groups (Uang Kuliah Tunggal, UKT) based on pre-admission data. Three feature selection methods Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA), Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), and Random Forest Feature Importance (RFFI) were employed and combined with five supervised learning models: Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM) with RBF kernel, Naïve Bayes, and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN). The results demonstrate that the EFA–SVM (RBF) combination achieved the best performance, with an average accuracy exceeding 98%, outperforming other models across most faculties. EFA also yielded the highest Silhouette Score (0.2933), indicating a more stable and distinct cluster structure compared to RFE (0.2564) and RFFI (0.2575). These findings highlight the critical role of appropriate feature selection in improving classification accuracy and model generalization, particularly when emphasizing socioeconomic variables such as parental income, land area, housing conditions, and basic family facilities. The integration of factor-based dimensionality reduction with non-linear classification algorithms proved effective in developing a more transparent and equitable UKT prediction model. This research contributes to the advancement of data-driven decision support systems in higher education and provides a foundation for future automation in tuition group determination processes.
A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF SUPERVISED FEATURE SELECTION METHODS FOR PREDICTING UANG KULIAH TUNGGAL (UKT) GROUPS Windy Chikita Cornia Putri; Wiyli Yustanti; Ervin Yohannes
J-Icon : Jurnal Komputer dan Informatika Vol 13 No 2 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Nusa Cendana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35508/jicon.v13i2.23893

Abstract

The manual classification of Uang Kuliah Tunggal (UKT) groups at Indonesian public universities is laborious, subjective, and error-prone, especially given the explosion of socio-economic data captured via online admission portals. In this study, we evaluate five feature selection techniques Chi-Square filter, Random Forest importance, Recursive Feature Elimination, LASSO embedded selection, and Exploratory Factor Analysis on a dataset of 9,369 applicants described by 53 socio-economic variables. Six classifiers (Decision Tree, Random Forest, SVM-RBF, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naïve Bayes) were tuned via stratified 5-fold cross-validation within an 80:20 train-test split. Performance was measured by accuracy, macro-F1, and training time, and differences in weighted-average accuracy across feature-selection scenarios were assessed using the Friedman test (χ² = 15.06, p = 0.010). Results show that reducing to 13 features via LASSO (weighted-average accuracy 0.730) or Chi-Square (0.678) significantly outperforms both the full feature baseline (0.624) and the EFA baseline (0.303), while cutting computational costs by over 40%. We conclude that supervised feature selection particularly LASSO and Chi-Square enables simpler, faster, and more transparent UKT prediction without sacrificing accuracy. The novelty of this study lies in comparing five feature-selection methods within a standardized preprocessing pipeline on real UKT data from UNESA, resulting in a 13-feature subset aligned with the current UKT policy. This finding is ready to be integrated into an automated UKT verification system to enhance decision accuracy and efficiency.