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Shintami Oktavia
State University of Medan
Health Professions Nursing Public Health Other

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Dampak Konflik Geopolitik Global terhadap Inflasi Indonesia Tahun 2022–2024: Analisis Jalur Transmisi Energi, Pangan, dan Rantai Pasok Mica Siar Meiriza; Aura Puteri Ginting; Erwin Purba; Rivaldo Setiawan Silitonga; Karan Rayhan Almunawi; Maika Titi Musliha; Rahma Dea Sapitri; Geby Yola Berlian Nainggolan; Shintami Oktavia; Erlina Victoria Simanungkalit
Jurnal Keluarga Sehat Sejahtera Vol. 24 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL KELUARGA SEHAT SEJAHTERA (In-Press)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24114/

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis dampak konflik geopolitik global, khususnya Perang Rusia-Ukraina 2022, terhadap inflasi di Indonesia selama periode 2022–2024 dengan menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif-deskriptif-analitis. Tiga saluran transmisi utama diidentifikasi beroperasi secara bersamaan: guncangan harga energi yang mendorong inflasi energi hingga 13,9%, gangguan pasokan pangan global yang menyebabkan inflasi pangan mencapai 8,01% dengan jeda tiga hingga enam bulan, serta gangguan rantai pasokan yang meningkatkan biaya logistik dan bahan baku industri. Ketiga saluran ini mendorong inflasi tahunan Indonesia mencapai puncak 5,95% pada September 2022—tertinggi dalam satu dekade—namun berhasil ditekan menjadi 2,51% pada 2024 melalui kombinasi kenaikan kumulatif 225 bps pada Suku Bunga BI dan kebijakan fiskal protektif, termasuk subsidi energi sebesar Rp 502 triliun dan bantuan sosial yang ditargetkan. Inflasi dorongan biaya ini berdampak regresif terhadap rumah tangga berpenghasilan rendah, meskipun program perlindungan sosial berhasil menurunkan tingkat kemiskinan dari 9,54% menjadi 9,03%. Studi ini menyoroti kerentanan struktural Indonesia sebagai negara pengimpor bersih komoditas serta urgensi diversifikasi impor serta keamanan energi dan pangan jangka panjang.
Implementasi Program Makanan Bergizi Gratis terhadap Pengeluaran Keuangan Siswa Sekolah Menengah Atas Mica Siar Meiriza; Shintami Oktavia; Dhing Oktavia Anggraini; Maryatul Zulmi; Raisya Chairina Arira Siregar
Jurnal Keluarga Sehat Sejahtera Vol. 24 No. 2 (2026): JURNAL KELUARGA SEHAT SEJAHTERA (In-Press)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Medan

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of the implementation of the free nutritious food policy on the financial expenditure of high school students. This study uses a quantitative method with an associative approach. The population in this study is all students at the upper secondary school level, with a sample of 163 respondents obtained through certain sampling techniques. Data collection was carried out through questionnaires, while data analysis using the help of SPSS and Microsoft Excel included validity, reliability, normality tests, linearity, simple linear regression, and determination coefficient (R2) tests. The results showed that all items were declared valid and reliable, the data was distributed normally, and the relationship between variables was linear. The results of the regression test showed that the implementation of the free nutritious food program policy had a positive and significant effect on students' financial expenditure with a significant value of 0.000 and a regression coefficient of 0.618. In addition, the determination coefficient value (R2) of 0.328 shows that the implementation variable is able to explain 32.8% of the variation in student financial expenditure. Thus, it can be concluded that the implementation of the free nutritious food program has a significant influence on the financial expenditure of high school students.
Co-Authors Aura Puteri Ginting Dhing Oktavia Anggraini Erlina Victoria Simanungkalit Erwin Purba Geby Yola Berlian Nainggolan Karan Rayhan Almunawi Maika Titi Musliha Maryatul Zulmi Meiriza, Mica Siar Mica Siar Meiriza Rahma Dea Sapitri Raisya Chairina Arira Siregar Rivaldo Setiawan Silitonga