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Solihah, Aulia Zahratul
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Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Mechanical Engineering Transportation

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Implementation of the Logistic Growth Model for Projecting the Population of Kuningan Regency in 2026–2035 Solihah, Aulia Zahratul; Sugandha, Agus; Puspita, Dian
Jurnal Matematika Integratif Vol 22, No 1: April 2026
Publisher : Department of Matematics, Universitas Padjadjaran

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24198/jmi.v22.n1.70221.133-144

Abstract

Differential equations are a branch of mathematics that are widely used to solve various problems in real life. In the context of population, differential equations are used to model and project the population in a region in a certain period. This Field Work Practice (PKL) Report aims to analyze population growth in Kuningan Regency using a logistic growth model and project the population in Kuningan Regency in 2025-2035. The data used is population data in Kuningan Regency in 2015-2024 obtained from the Kuningan Regency Central Statistics Agency. Based on the calculation results, nine logistic models were obtained with an environmental carrying capacity value of 1,266,373 people. Model VI was selected as the best model with a relative growth rate per year of 16.82% and a MAPE value of 1.34%. The model projects that the population of Kuningan Regency will continue to increase from 1,220,996 in 2025 to approximately 1,257,682 in 2035
Co-Authors Agus Sugandha Dian Puspita