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All Journal Cakrawala Repositori Imwi IIJSE
Lalu Hamdani Husnan
Universitas Mataram, Indonesia
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Cash Flow Forecasting for Construction Projects using the Markov Chain Model (A Case Study of Construction Company PT X) Lala Amalia; Embun Suryani; Lalu Hamdani Husnan; Siti Aisyah Hidayati; I Nyoman Nugraha
Cakrawala Repositori IMWI 73-84
Publisher : Institut Manajemen Wiyata Indonesia & Asosiasi Peneliti Manajemen Indonesia

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the cash flow dynamics of PT X’s construction project using the Markov Chain Model. The data used consist of monthly net cash flows for the period from June 2020 to December 2025, which are classified into four states: Severe Deficit, Moderate Deficit, Stable, and High Surplus. The analysis was conducted using a transition probability matrix, steady-state distribution, multi-period probability prediction, and Mean First Passage Time (MFPT). The results of the study show that PT X’s cash flow condition is volatile and is not strongly dominated by any particular state. The steady-state distribution shows that the company’s long-term probability of being in the deficit group, consisting of Severe Deficit and Moderate Deficit, reaches 49.87%, while the probability of being in the non-deficit group, consisting of Stable and High Surplus, reaches 50.12%. These findings indicate that deficit risk and non-deficit opportunities are relatively balanced. Therefore, PT X needs to manage liquidity, cash reserves, receivables, project terms, and working capital in a more adaptive and probability-based manner.
PENGARUH PERUBAHAN PREFERENSI GENERASI Z DAN KUALITAS PRODUK TERHADAP LOYALITAS PELANGGAN PADA WESTERN FOODS DI KOTA MATARAM, LOMBOK, INDONESIA Dwi Nurdinda; Lalu Hamdani Husnan
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 9 No 2 (2026): Sharia Economics
Publisher : Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v9i2.9640

Abstract

This study aims to examine how changes in Generation Z preferences and product quality affect customer loyalty at Western Foods in Mataram City. Understanding the requirements and preferences of Generation Z is crucial for culinary businesses because this group is known to have dynamic and rapidly altered tastes. Furthermore, one of the elements that is thought to have a major role in fostering client loyalty is product quality. This study aims to provide actual data on how much these two factors affect the development of consumer loyalty. This study uses a survey approach in addition to a quantitative methodology. 200 Western Foods patrons in the Generation Z age group participated in the survey. Multiple linear regression analysis, validity and reliability testing, and traditional assumption tests were among the data analysis methods employed. The results of the study demonstrate that the Generation Z Preference variable has a positive and significant influence on customer loyalty, with significance and a t-value higher than the t-table below 0.05. The Product Quality variable has a positive and large impact on customer loyalty, and the coefficient supports this link. In all, this study demonstrates that product quality and Generation Z tastes are significant elements that can boost Mataram City customers' commitment to Western Foods. These findings imply that businesses need to pay attention to the dynamics of Generation Z preferences and maintain consistent product quality in order to retain customers in the long term.
Co-Authors Dwi Nurdinda I Nyoman Nugraha Lala Amalia Siti Aisyah Hidayati Suryani, Embun