Zaenal Arifin Hasibuan
Universitas Komputer Indonesia (UNIKOM)

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

Predicting Multi-Morbidity Progression and Identifying Key Determinants in Chronic Disease Patients Using a Longitudinal Data-Driven Information Systems Approach: A Research Protocol for a Cohort Study in Bandung Regency, Indonesia Lusianto Lusianto; Zaenal Arifin Hasibuan; Sri Supatmi; Adnan Shahid Khan
Indonesian Journal of Infomatics Vol. 1 No. 2 (2026): May: Indonesian Journal of Infomatics
Publisher : Asosiasi Pengelola Jurnal Informatika dan Komputer Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.66472/iji.v1i2.388

Abstract

Multimorbidity represents a critical challenge for primary healthcare systems in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In Indonesia, fragmented electronic health record (EHR) infrastructure limits effective chronic disease management. This research protocol presents an end-to-end information systems approach to: (1) design a validated ETL framework for heterogeneous health data; (2) develop and compare machine learning models (Random Forest, XGBoost, LSTM) for predicting multimorbidity risk; (3) identify critical determinants in an Indonesian population; and (4) evaluate a Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS) prototype. A mixed-methods, three-phase design will analyze 150,000 chronic disease patients from SIMPUS EHR data (2021-2025). Phase 2 focuses on CDSS development using explainable AI (XAI), while Phase 3 evaluates user acceptance using the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM). The study expects to produce a predictive model with AUC-ROC $\ge0.75$ and an operational CDSS prototype integrated with the Satu Sehat platform. This protocol addresses gaps in Southeast Asian LMIC data, implementation, and interpretability.