Amri Hakim
Program Studi Ilmu Hubungan Internasional, Fakultas Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik, Universitas Abdurrab, Pekanbaru, Riau, Indonesia

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HILIRISASI CPO DAN IMPLIKASINYA TERHADAP TRANSFORMASI EKONOMI PROVINSI RIAU Muhamad Nur Ziqrullah; Kenepri Kenepri; Amri Hakim
Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah Vol. 5 No. 10 (2026): Juni 2026
Publisher : Bajang Institute

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Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of Crude Palm Oil (CPO) downstreaming policy on economic transformation in Riau Province using a mixed methods approach (concurrent triangulation design). Quantitative data were collected from 100 stakeholders via structured questionnaires, while qualitative data were gathered through in-depth interviews and document analysis. Three advanced analytical techniques were employed: Descriptive Statistics, the Leontief Interregional Input-Output (IRIO) Model, and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) via SmartPLS. Results show the downstreaming policy scored very high (mean = 4.22), with an output multiplier of 2.35. SEM confirmed a positive and significant total effect on economic transformation (β = 0.79; R² = 0.71), partially mediated by industrial value-added. CPO downstream industry was confirmed as a key sector with forward linkage 1.68 and backward linkage 1.42. This study concludes that CPO downstreaming has shifted Riau's economy toward manufacturing, though infrastructure and smallholder partnerships require further optimization.