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AI-DRIVEN VILLAGE PLANNING: PREDICTIVE MODELS FOR ENHANCING RURAL ECONOMIC RESILIENCE IN EMERGING REGIONS Pegi Sugiartini
Journal of Economic Development and Village Building Vol. 3 No. 1 (2025): Journal of Economic Development and Village Building
Publisher : Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59261/jedvb.v3i1.52

Abstract

Rural communities in emerging regions face mounting challenges, including economic volatility, climate variability, and limited access to infrastructure. However, traditional planning approaches often rely on intuition-based priority-setting and lack systematic analytical frameworks for identifying optimal intervention pathways. The integration of artificial intelligence into development planning offers potential to enhance evidence quality and allocative efficiency, though implementation feasibility and effectiveness in resource-constrained contexts remain underexplored. This research developed and validated an AI-based predictive framework to assess village economic resilience and support participatory development planning, examining model accuracy, key resilience determinants, and its practical integration with existing governance processes. The study employed mixed methods across five rural villages in Central Java Province, Indonesia, over six months (March-August 2024), combining machine learning approaches (Random Forest, Gradient Boosting) for resilience prediction with qualitative stakeholder engagement. Data collection encompassed household surveys (n=180), administrative records, spatial analysis, and participatory planning forums, with systematic comparison against conventional planning approaches. Ensemble models achieved strong predictive accuracy (R²=0.84), with Gradient Boosting demonstrating the highest performance (R²=0.89) and Random Forest (R²=0.86), substantially outperforming linear regression (R²=0.48). Digital infrastructure (24% importance), income diversification (21%), and financial service access (17%) emerged as dominant resilience determinants. AI-supported villages demonstrated enhanced planning processes, including improved evidence utilization, broader stakeholder participation, and strategic realignment of priorities toward empirically identified leverage factors. Scenario analysis projected 18-point gains in resilience over five years under integrated intervention strategies. The research demonstrates that appropriately designed AI systems can enhance the effectiveness of rural development planning while preserving participatory values.
Decentralization and Urban Governance: Examining the Implementation of Regional Autonomy in Bandung Metropolitan Area (2019-2024) Pegi Sugiartini
Journal of Political Innovation and Analysis Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Political Innovation and Analysis
Publisher : Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59261/jpia.v2i2.17

Abstract

This research investigates the implementation of regional autonomy in the Bandung Metropolitan Area (BMA) from 2019 to 2024, focusing on the challenges and opportunities in governance arising from decentralization. The study examines how decentralization has influenced fiscal management, public service delivery, spatial planning coordination, and inter-governmental relations within BMA, which comprises multiple autonomous local governments. The objectives include analyzing the distribution of authority and fiscal resources, assessing the effectiveness of governance in key sectors, and identifying coordination mechanisms used to address cross-jurisdictional issues. Using a mixed-methods approach, the research combines quantitative data from government reports with qualitative interviews from key governance actors. The findings reveal significant coordination failures between local governments, particularly in spatial planning and service delivery, with peripheral districts lagging the urban core. These governance pathologies are exacerbated by competing local interests and insufficient coordination frameworks. The research underscores the need for stronger metropolitan-level coordination mechanisms and fiscal equalization to address disparities between districts. Implications for policy development include recommending legal reforms to enhance metropolitan governance, particularly through the establishment of binding coordination bodies. The study contributes to the understanding of decentralization in metropolitan contexts, offering insights for other regions facing similar governance challenges.