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All Journal Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics Eko-Regional: Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Wilayah
Avi Budi Setiawan
Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Negeri Semarang
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Environmental Science Public Health Social Sciences

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Indonesia's Coffee Export Dynamics: Exploring the Impacts of Climate, Trade, and Productivity Avi Budi Setiawan; Mochammad Yusuf
Eko-Regional: Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Wilayah Vol 20 No 2 (2025): September 2025
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32424/er.v20i2.14525

Abstract

As the fourth-largest coffee exporter worldwide, Indonesia contributes significantly to the global coffee trade while contending with challenges such as export volatility, trade barriers, and the impacts of climate change. This study aims to investigate the determinants of Indonesia’s coffee exports, focusing on productivity, trade barriers, and climate variability. This study employed the Error Correction Model (ECM) to analyze time-series data from 1989 to 2022, sourced from the FAO, WITS, and the World Bank. The findings indicate that, in the long run, coffee imports, trade openness, and the extent of harvested land area are positively correlated with export performance, while export taxes and increasing land temperatures exert negative effects. In the short run, productivity is associated with increased exports, whereas land area appears to have a negative relationship. These findings suggest that addressing trade barriers, improving land management, and enhancing trade openness are essential for strengthening export competitiveness.
Empowering Local Economies: A Comprehensive Study on Leading Products in Pemalang Regency Avi Budi Setiawan; Mochammad Yusuf; Syaiful Amin; Wahyu Ananda Putri
Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/efficient.v8i1.16352

Abstract

The economic development of Pemalang Regency holds significant potential, given its abundant natural resources and cultural heritage. However, the region faces challenges in optimizing these assets to reduce inequality and foster inclusive growth. Identifying leading sectors and superior products is crucial for promoting sustainable economic transformation. This study employs Location Quotient (LQ), Shift Share (SS), Klassen Typology, and statistic descriptive analysis to assess sectoral performance and prioritize economic development strategies. Data collection involved purposive sampling across all subdistricts, ensuring representativeness and balanced insights. Findings reveal that agriculture, forestry, fisheries, and the financial sector are advanced and fast-growing, while several sectors such as transportation and warehousing are developed but under pressure. Notable products include honey pineaple, coffee, milkfish, textiles, and processed foods, which demonstrate significant growth potential when supported by targeted investments and strategic marketing. It is recommended that policymakers focus on developing infrastructure, fostering innovation, and enhancing human capital to strengthen these key sectors. Furthermore, promoting digital marketing and facilitating partnerships can expand market access and enhance competitiveness, ensuring Pemalang's economic sustainability in the long term.
Co-Authors Mochammad Yusuf Mochammad Yusuf Syaiful Amin Wahyu Ananda Putri