Widia Putri
Department of Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Andalas, Indonesia

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System dynamics modelling of integrated urban clean water management: A case study in Padang City, Indonesia Yaumal Arbi; Rumia Ramadhianty; Shinta Rahayu; Widia Putri
Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Regular Issue
Publisher : Researcher and Lecturer Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58712/jerel.v4i2.184

Abstract

Access to clean water is essential for human life and a key target of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 6: Clean Water and Sanitation. However, cities in developing countries, including Padang City, Indonesia, face significant challenges in meeting the growing demand due to population growth and limited water infrastructure. This study used system dynamics modelling approach with Powersim Studio 10 to develop an integrated clean water management system for Padang City. The model simulates the dynamics of population growth, water consumption, production, and distribution efficiency over a 20-year period (2022–2042). Several policy scenarios—optimistic, moderate, and pessimistic—were tested to evaluate their impact on water availability. The baseline scenario predicts a continuous decline in clean water supply due to increasing population, high leakage rates (11.99%), and water wastage (2%), which surpass the water production growth rate (5.01%). As a result, a water deficit is expected. However, under the optimistic scenario, with increased production (10%), reduced leakage (8%), and reduced wastage (3%), Padang City could achieve a clean water surplus by 2042. The moderate and pessimistic scenarios still result in a deficit. This research highlights the value of the system dynamics modelling in forecasting urban water demand and assessing policy impacts. The findings emphasize the need for integrated planning, combining technical solutions and behavioural change, to ensure sustainable water management and support the achievement of SDG 6.
System dynamics for integrated domestic wastewater management: A review of stock–flow models, policy scenarios, and river water quality Widia Putri; Denny Helard; Shinta Indah
Journal of Engineering Researcher and Lecturer Vol. 5 No. 2 (2026): Regular Issue
Publisher : Researcher and Lecturer Society

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58712/jerel.v5i2.221

Abstract

Domestic wastewater management is a long-term systems problem shaped by population growth, water use, sanitation coverage, treatment capacity, infrastructure deterioration, institutional performance, finance, pollutant generation, and receiving-water conditions. This review synthesizes the use of System Dynamics (SD) for integrated domestic wastewater planning, with emphasis on causal-loop structures, stock–flow models, policy scenarios, pollutant-load estimation, and river-water-quality responses. A structured narrative search covering 2010 to June 2026 was used to identify peer-reviewed studies that applied explicit SD concepts to wastewater, sanitation, water pollution, or coupled water-quality management. The literature shows that most models represent population, wastewater generation, treatment capacity, and pollution control, but fewer integrate on-site sanitation, faecal-sludge pathways, microbiological pollutants, river hydrology, climate stress, finance, and institutional behavior in one model. Scenario analysis is widely used, particularly business-as-usual, capacity expansion, service-coverage improvement, treatment-efficiency enhancement, and combined-policy scenarios. The evidence indicates that isolated infrastructure expansion often underperforms when household connections, operation and maintenance, financing, or treatment efficiency remain constrained. More robust models combine service coverage and capacity dynamics with pollutant mass balance, receiving-water dilution, validation tests, and sensitivity or uncertainty analysis. Coastal and data-limited cities require additional representation of shallow groundwater, infiltration and inflow, flooding, tidal backwater, sea-level rise, and the dominance of on-site sanitation. The review proposes an integrated framework linking socio-demographic, service, infrastructure, treatment, pollutant, river-quality, financial, institutional, and climate subsystems. Future development should priorities spatial SD, participatory modelling, global sensitivity analysis, adaptive policy pathways, real-time monitoring, and hybridization with GIS, hydrological models, optimization, and machine learning.