The rapid development of artificial intelligence and immersive technologies has created new opportunities to improve learning quality. However, evidence on the combined relationships of AI-based learning media, Augmented Reality (AR), and innovative leadership in elementary education remains limited. This study examined the predictive contributions of Canva AI, AR technology, and innovative leadership to learning quality in public elementary schools in Kedu District, Temanggung Regency, Indonesia. A quantitative ex post facto design involved 125 teachers selected through proportional random sampling. Data were collected using validated and reliable questionnaires and analyzed using descriptive statistics, simple and multiple linear regression, and hypothesis testing with SPSS. Canva AI was positively associated with learning quality (R² = 0.473, p < 0.001), as was AR technology (R² = 0.421, p < 0.001). Innovative leadership demonstrated the strongest predictive contribution (R² = 0.736, p < 0.001). Simultaneously, the three variables explained 74.2% of the variance in learning quality (R² = 0.742, p < 0.001), with innovative leadership emerging as the strongest predictor. Practically, schools should strengthen digital leadership, provide targeted teacher training, and support sustained technology integration. Teachers can use Canva AI for visual learning materials and AR for interactive learning experiences. These findings highlight the importance of integrating technological innovation with organizational leadership to support learning quality in elementary education.