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DETERMINAN IMPOR BERAS DI INDONESIA Tania Abba Biyah; Hijri Juliansyah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v9i1.26148

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the impact of rice production, population, and exchange rate on rice imports into Indonesia from 1993 to 2024. The research method employed involves the use of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to describe fluctuations in the relationship between these variables over both the short and long run. Empirical research result reveal that rice output has a significant negative effect on rice imports, both in the short and long run. Popoluation appears to have a significant positive effect on rice import in the short term, although this effectloses significance in the long run. Conversely, exchange rates do not show a significant effect on riceimports over the longer run