Mahmud
Agribusiness Study Program, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Ekasakti, Padang

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Analysis of Indonesia's Palm Oil (CPO) Export Volume Moderated by Inflation Mahmud; Wawan Sumarno; Nessa Amelia; Gusriati; Wanda Ramadhana
Formosa Journal of Science and Technology Vol. 5 No. 6 (2026): June 2026
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fjst.v5i6.98

Abstract

This study examines the effects of exchange rates, GDP, commodity prices, and inflation on Indonesia’s CPO export volume. A quantitative approach was employed using secondary time-series data from January 2018 to December 2024, comprising 84 observations. Data were analyzed using PLS-SEM with SmartPLS 4.1.1. The results indicate that exchange rates and GDP positively and significantly affect CPO export volume. Conversely, commodity prices exert a negative and significant effect, whereas inflation has no direct significant influence. Furthermore, inflation strengthens the exchange rate–export relationship but weakens the effects of GDP and commodity prices on Indonesia’s CPO exports