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All Journal Signifikan : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Muslim Business and Economic Review
Law, Siong Hook
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Public Debt and Budget Deficit Threshold Levels on New Fiscal Sustainability Indicator Cahyadin, Malik; Sarmidi, Tamat; Khalid, Norlin; Law, Siong Hook
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 12, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University of Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.31005

Abstract

Fiscal sustainability can be determined and assessed using financial technology (FinTech). Consequently, a new indicator of fiscal sustainability can be constructed. This study also estimates threshold levels of public debt and budget deficit by considering institutions for 88 developing and 35 developed countries in 2014 and 2017. The principal component analysis (PCA) and the cross-section threshold regression are employed. The main findings revealed that the threshold levels of public debt-to-GDP ratio for developed and developing countries in 2014 were 100.37% and 63.04%, while that in 2017 were 90.09% and 84.28%, respectively. Moreover, the threshold levels of budget deficit-to-GDP ratio for developed and developing countries in 2014 were -3.04% and -1.24%, while those in 2017 were -0.97% and -5.75%, respectively. Therefore, policymakers should emphasize a certain public debt and budget deficit level to warrant a fiscally sustainable level.JEL Classification: C13, E62, H60 How to Cite:Cahyadin, M., Sarmidi, T., Khalid, N. & Law, S. H. (2023). Public Debt and Budget Deficit Threshold Levels on New Fiscal Sustainability Indicator. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 97-116. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.31005.
Finance and Output Volatity During The Global Financial Crisis Ibrahim, Mansor H.; Law, Siong Hook; Sukmana, Raditya
Muslim Business and Economics Review Vol. 3 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Internasional Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56529/mber.v3i1.268

Abstract

This paper assesses the effectiveness of financial depth and financial inclusion in the mitigation of output volatility during the 2008-2010 Global Financial Crisis. The paper also evaluates whether finance is more effective in countries with more developed financial systems, higher levels of economic developments, sounder banking systems, and better political stability. Employing a cross-sectional dataset covering more than 100 countries, our results indicate the ability of finance in subduing output volatility during the crisis. Our evidence is also concrete in suggesting the success of finance in reducing output volatility in more financially developed, advanced, and politically stable countries. However, the evidence is unclear on whether finance is beneficial for countries characterized by low, intermediate, or high banking stability. In addition to these findings, the preponderance of evidence tends to suggest the better ability of financial usage as compared to financial access in mitigating aggregate fluctuations during the crisis. Finally, our additional analysis reveals that finance functions well in stabilizing output when output volatility is high.
Public Debt and Budget Deficit Threshold Levels on New Fiscal Sustainability Indicator Cahyadin, Malik; Sarmidi, Tamat; Khalid, Norlin; Law, Siong Hook
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.31005

Abstract

Fiscal sustainability can be determined and assessed using financial technology (FinTech). Consequently, a new indicator of fiscal sustainability can be constructed. This study also estimates threshold levels of public debt and budget deficit by considering institutions for 88 developing and 35 developed countries in 2014 and 2017. The principal component analysis (PCA) and the cross-section threshold regression are employed. The main findings revealed that the threshold levels of public debt-to-GDP ratio for developed and developing countries in 2014 were 100.37% and 63.04%, while that in 2017 were 90.09% and 84.28%, respectively. Moreover, the threshold levels of budget deficit-to-GDP ratio for developed and developing countries in 2014 were -3.04% and -1.24%, while those in 2017 were -0.97% and -5.75%, respectively. Therefore, policymakers should emphasize a certain public debt and budget deficit level to warrant a fiscally sustainable level.JEL Classification: C13, E62, H60 How to Cite:Cahyadin, M., Sarmidi, T., Khalid, N. & Law, S. H. (2023). Public Debt and Budget Deficit Threshold Levels on New Fiscal Sustainability Indicator. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 97-116. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.31005.
Co-Authors Ibrahim, Mansor H. Khalid, Norlin Malik Cahyadin Raditya Sukmana Sarmidi, Tamat