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Forecasting Analysis of Cement Selling (Non-Bulk) Using The Method of Triple Exponential Smoothing (Case study: PT. Lafarge Holcim Cement Indonesia) Zein, Ikramullah; Alsyah, Oloan; Apriliansyah, Surya
Jurnal IPTEK Vol 24, No 2 (2020)
Publisher : LPPM Institut Teknologi Adhi Tama Surabaya (ITATS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31284/j.iptek.2020.v24i2.311

Abstract

PT. Lafarge Holcim Cement Indonesia is one of the cement companies focusing on construction. The aim of this study is to analyze the sales forecasting applied to know the next period using Triple Exponential Smoothing. The results showed that the values of MAD, MSE and MAPE for PCC's bag are 3980, 20925291 and 13%, respectively. Meanwhuile, the values for OPC's bag are 105, 19497 and 14%, respectively. Furthermore, the forcasting result of the next period of cement selling for PCC's and OPC's bag are 32498 and 792, respectively. Triple exponential smoothing method is a suitable method to forecast the case that has small bias, such as the case in PT. Lafarge Holcim Cement Indonesia.
A New Multi-Purposes Flume Experiments Facility: Challenges and Opportunity for Tsunami and Coastal Engineering in Indonesia Syamsidik, Syamsidik; Benazir, Benazir; Pratama, Nadri; Arifullah, Arifullah; Fatimah, Eldina; Nazaruddin, Nazaruddin; Tarmizi, Tarmizi; Ibrahim, Ibrahim; Zein, Ikramullah
International Journal of Disaster Management Vol 6, No 3 (2023)
Publisher : TDMRC, Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/ijdm.v6i3.34568

Abstract

Physical modelling for tsunami engineering is rather difficult to conduct due to lack of comprehensive and advanced facilities to do so. Large number of simulations of the tsunami impacts were performed numerically. In early 2023, a new advanced tsunami flume facility has been completed at Tsunami and Disaster Mitigation Research Center (TDMRC) of Universitas Syiah Kuala. This flume has 60 m in length, 2.5 m in width, and 1.7 m in height. The flume is also equipped with a number of wave, pressure, and current sensors, Particle Image Velocimetery (PIV) Camera, and a laser bed profiler. Beside of the tsunami generator, this flume is also capable to generate wind-driven waves (with two large wind turbines), regular and irregular waves, and currents. The flume provides new opportunities as well as challenges for tsunami scientists and engineers in Indonesia to collaborate and to perform novel researches in tsunami mitigation. This article is aimed at elucidating technical challenges and opportunities in performing tsunami physical models with the large tsunami flume. we performed a series numerical models using DualSPHysic. The results show that composite beach slopes inside the flume has succesfully mimic shallow coast effects that later deformed the incoming tsunami waves into breaking, bores, and runup. Challenges were identified in absorbing tsunami waves with more than one incoming wave to the observation area. In the future, this facility will be accessible for scientists and engineers to collaborate in tsunami science and engineering researches.