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All Journal Agregat: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Kusumatrisna, Adam Luthfi
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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EFEK THRESHOLD INFLASI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI REGIONAL DI INDONESIA Kusumatrisna, Adam Luthfi; Sugema, Iman; Pasaribu, Syamsul Hidayat
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 27 No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Economic Research Center, the Indonesian Institute of Sciences (P2E-LIPI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (528.8 KB) | DOI: 10.14203/JEP.27.1.2019.43-52

Abstract

Penelitian terbaru menyatakan bahwa hubungan antara inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi tidaklah linier. Ketika inflasi melebihi ambang batas tertentu, akan berdampak negatif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menyelidiki hubungan linear dan non-linear antara inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia menggunakan data panel provinsi. Hubungan linier diuji menggunakan panel fixed effect model sementara hubungan non-linear menggunakan panel threshold fixed effect model. Saat dilakukan uji secara linear, inflasi di Indonesia memiliki efek negatif pada pertumbuhan ekonomi begitu juga dengan  pertumbuhan rasio pengeluaran pemerintah dan pertumbuhan penduduk. Sementara pertumbuhan investasi dan pertumbuhan keterbukaan ekonomi memiliki efek positif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ketika melakukan uji non-linear, inflasi di Indonesia berdampak negatif terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi hanya ketika melebihi 9,57 dan 9,59 persen. Sementara itu saat inflasi melebihi 5,09 persen, pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia melambat. Kebijakan pengendalian inflasi tetap harus dilakukan untuk mengurangi dampak buruk inflasi, karena inflasi yang tinggi  dan berfluktuasi tidak baik bagi perekonomian. Studi ini menyarankan pihak terkait seperti Bank Indonesia (BI) dan Tim Pemantauan dan Pengendalian Inflasi Daerah (TPID) untuk berhati-hati saat inflasi mulai melebihi angka 5,09 persen dan waspada saat inflasi melebihi angka 9,57 persen dan 9,59 persen.  
The Role of Ecommerce Adoption in Influencing The Increasing Income of Small and Micro Enterprises (MSEs) During The Covid-19 Pandemic Kusumatrisna, Adam Luthfi; Projo , Nucke Widowati Kusumo
Agregat: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. DR HAMKA.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22236/agregat_vol8.i1/16253

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has devastated the world economy, including Indonesia. Large-scale social restrictions as a consequence of preventing the spread of the COVID-19 virus have hampered the economy. Micro and small enterprises (MSEs) are the sectors most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. On the other hand, the eCommerce survey showed that 24.20 percent of businesses claimed to have experienced an increase in income during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study aims to (1) find out the extent to which eCommerce adoption and income increased in MSEs during the COVID-19 pandemic; (2) looking for the effect of eCommerce adoption on MSEs on increasing MSE income during the COVID-19 pandemic; (3) knowing which items of eCommerce adoption have a significant effect on increasing MSE income; and (4) find out how big the opportunity to increase the income of each eCommerce adoption item compared to businesses that do not adopt eCommerce. This study uses descriptive analysis and binary logistic regression. The researched eCommerce adoption is seen from three dimensions, namely online sales media, training related to the use of information technology for digital marketing, and the speed of eCommerce adoption. All variables of eCommerce adoption that were studied using binary logistic regression proved to have a significant effect on increasing revenue. Of all eCommerce adoption items, eCommerce businesses that use instant messages as a sales medium, had the opportunity to experience an increase in revenue during the COVID-19 pandemic by 2.41 times compared to businesses that do not use instant messages.
Co-Authors Projo , Nucke Widowati Kusumo Sugema, Iman Syamsul Hidayat Pasaribu