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All Journal Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Community Development Journal: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat International Journal of Social Service and Research
Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto
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Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences

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VECM MODEL IN MEASURING THE IMPACT OF MONETARY POLICY INTERVENTION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA FROM 2009 TO 2022 Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto; Mail, Johana; Assel, M. Ridwan; Leiwakabessy, Erly; Payapo, Rukmuin W.
International Journal of Social Service and Research Vol. 4 No. 11 (2024): International Journal of Social Service and Research
Publisher : Ridwan Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46799/ijssr.v4i11.1098

Abstract

This research was conducted to determine the short-term and long-term effects of inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, and the money supply on economic growth in Indonesia from 2009 to 2022 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) method. The VECM method is used to analyze the interaction between these variables over different time horizons, offering valuable insights into their respective roles in influencing economic growth. The results show that in the short run, the exchange rate variable does not have a significant effect on the economic growth, while in the long run the interest rate variable has a positive impact on the economy with a negative coefficient value. The short run variable interest rates do not have significant effects on the growth of the economy, but in the longer run interest rates have an important effect on growth. In conclusion, the effect of exchange rates on the Indonesian economy is still a controversial research topic. The findings enhance the current literature on macroeconomic policy and provide a foundation for policymakers to design more effective economic strategies, especially in addressing the challenges posed by inflation and exchange rate volatility in both the short and long terms.
ANALYZING FACTORS AFFECTING INDONESIA'S FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOR THE 2012-2021 PERIOD Ruslan, Nining Ruslan; Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto; Louhenapessy, Desry J.; Hanoeboen, Bin Raudha Arif; Sapteno, Fibryano; Laitupa, Abdul Aziz
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 8, No 4 (2024): IJEBAR, VOL. 08 ISSUE 04, DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v8i4.15323

Abstract

This research analyzes the effect of exchange rates, exports, and imports on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in the 2012-2021 period. The independent variables in this study are exchange rates, exports, and imports, while the dependent variables are Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. The data used in this study was obtained from the official websites of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia, and Worldbank in 2023. The data analysis method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) which is a derivative of Vector Autoregression (VAR) analysis. The data collection technique used is secondary data with quantitative research type. The results of the VECM analysis show that the exchange rate (exchange rate) has a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, exports have a significant positive influence in the long run on foreign exchange reserves, while imports have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. Therefore, it can be concluded that international trade has a significant influence on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, and exchange rates, exports, and imports are important factors affecting Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Export, Import, Foreign Exchange Reserves
ANALYZING FACTORS AFFECTING INDONESIA'S FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES FOR THE 2012-2021 PERIOD Ruslan, Nining Ruslan; Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto; Louhenapessy, Desry J.; Hanoeboen, Bin Raudha Arif; Sapteno, Fibryano; Laitupa, Abdul Aziz
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 8 No 4 (2024): IJEBAR, VOL. 08 ISSUE 04, DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v8i4.15323

Abstract

This research analyzes the effect of exchange rates, exports, and imports on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in the 2012-2021 period. The independent variables in this study are exchange rates, exports, and imports, while the dependent variables are Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. The data used in this study was obtained from the official websites of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia, and Worldbank in 2023. The data analysis method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) which is a derivative of Vector Autoregression (VAR) analysis. The data collection technique used is secondary data with quantitative research type. The results of the VECM analysis show that the exchange rate (exchange rate) has a significant effect on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, exports have a significant positive influence in the long run on foreign exchange reserves, while imports have a significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. Therefore, it can be concluded that international trade has a significant influence on Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves, and exchange rates, exports, and imports are important factors affecting Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. Keywords: Exchange Rate, Export, Import, Foreign Exchange Reserves
The determinant effect of industry sub-sectors on the gross regional domestic product in Maluku Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto
Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura Vol. 18 No. 2 (2015): August - November 2015
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v18i2.444

Abstract

The development that takes place in a province as a whole and sustainable society has improved the economy. The achievement of development outcomes are strongly felt by society as the aggregate of development of 11 districts or cities in the province of Maluku which is inseparable from the endeavors jointly undertaken between the government and society. GDP of Maluku province is ranked 31 out of 33 provinces in Indonesia, an interesting problem to be studied, when considering the natural resources, infrastructure support, and even the location of Maluku as the archi-pelago. This is considered to have strategic value. This study uses panel data to measure GDP growth through industrial sector based on the effect of investment, employment, and the number of companies located in it. The results show that the number of the companies, labors, and investment, in general industrial subsector, have effect on the increase in GDP, which in turn can affect the economic growth in Maluku.
PERAN KEWIRUSAHAAN UNTUK MENINGKATKAN KESEJAHTERAAN MASYARAKAT DI DESA MAMALA KECAMATAN LEIHITU BARAT KABUPATEN MALUKU TENGAH KOTA AMBON Leiwakabessy, Erly; Hanoeboen, Bin Raudha A.; Payapo, Rukmuin W.; Anakotta, Fanny M.; Leasiwal, Teddy Christianto
Community Development Journal : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol. 5 No. 3 (2024): Volume 5 No. 3 Tahun 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/cdj.v5i3.28562

Abstract

Perkembangan ekonomi kreatif tidak dapat terlepas dari peran generasi muda sebagai sebagai sumber daya produktif yang sadar akan kemampuan yang dimiliki. Salah satu bentuk ide kreatifnya antara lain dapat membuka usaha dengan membangun jiwa kewirausahaan untuk mencari peluang sukses. Pelatihan ini berlangsung didesa Mamala yangb ditujukan bagi pemuda dengan metode presentasi dan diskusi.
Co-Authors Anakotta, Fanny M. Assel, M. Ridwan Erly Leiwakabessy Hanoeboen, Bin Raudha A. Hanoeboen, Bin Raudha Arif Laitupa, Abdul Aziz Louhenapessy, Desry J. Mail, Johana Payapo, Rukmuin W. Ruslan, Nining Ruslan Sapteno, Fibryano