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Peramalan Jumlah Wisatawan Kabupaten Belitung Menggunakan Simulasi Monte Carlo Marcelina, Elen; Agustin, Tria; Luthfiyaturrohmah, Khilma; Octaviani, Julia; Pramita, Agnes; Monika, Ines; Dalimunthe, Desy Yuliana; Nasrun, Aja
Euler : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, Sains dan Teknologi EULER: Volume 12 Issue 1 June 2024
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/euler.v12i1.25153

Abstract

One of Indonesia's mainstay sectors in receiving foreign exchange is tourism, especially during the Covid-19 pandemic, tourism contributed \$34 billion to state revenue. The tourism sector needs to be developed to support the country's economic growth. One of the priority destinations in Indonesia that can be developed is Bangka Belitung. The purpose of this study is to forecast the number of tourists in Belitung Regency so that it can facilitate the provision of facilities that support the tourism sector as well as promotional strategies to introduce tourist attractions in Belitung Regency to the general public. This study used data on the number of tourists in 2021, 2022, and 2023 in Belitung Regency which was analyzed using the Monte Carlo method. The accuracy of forecasting results is measured based on the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value. The number of tourists from this forecast is in accordance with the pattern of actual tourist data in Belitung Regency.The MAPE value in forecasting the number of tourists in Belitung Regency in 2022 is 21.45\%, which means that the prediction results produced are said to be good, while in 2023 it has an accuracy rate of 7.56\%, which means that the prediction results are said to be very good.
Analisis Daya Dukung Pondasi Bored Pile terhadap Risiko Kegagalan akibat Tanah Lunak Gedung Rumah Sakit Pendidikan Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang Agustin, Tria; Prasetyaningtyas, Gayuh Aji
Prosiding Seminar Nasional Teknik Sipil UMS 2023: Prosiding Seminar Nasional Teknik Sipil UMS
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Proyek pembangunan Rumah Sakit Pendidikan Universitas Muhammadiyah dibangun dengan menggunakan fondasi bored pile. Dengan adanya kondisi tanah lunak maka perlu dipertimbangkan kekuatan fondasi bored pile nya. Tujuan penelitian ini yaitu untuk menganalisis risiko kegagalan terhadap daya dukung fondasi bored pile akibat pengaruh tanah lunak pada pembangunan Gedung RSP Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan menghitung daya dukung fondasi tiang bor menggunakan data Standart Penetration test (N-SPT). Dari kondisi tanah lunak di lapangan kita perlu melakukan perhitungan kekuatan daya dukung fondasi yang digunakan dengan menggunakan metode Reese & Wright. Untuk perhitungan analisis pembebanan digunakan software SAP2000 v14. Hasil analisa dan perhitungan daya dukung tiang dari data Standart Penetration test (N-SPT) dengan kedalaman 18 m dan diameter 80 cm, berdasarkan Metode Reese & Wright 1977, daya dukung tiang tunggal (Q ijin) sebesar 355,230 ton. Manfaat dari penelitian ini dapat menganalisis daya dukung fondasi proyek rumah sakit universitas Muhammadiyah semarang dengan bored pile kedalaman 18 m dengan dimensi bored pile sebesar 80 cm dengan data pengujian Standart Penetration test (N-SPT).