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All Journal Jaladri : Jurnal Ilmiah Program Studi Bahasa Sunda Journal of Economics Development Issues Jurnal Penyuuhan dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat (JPPM)
Agung Permana
STMIK Jakarta
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Journal of Economics Development Issues

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Export-Growth Dynamics in NICs: An Econometric Investigation Athiyyah Nursyifa Tisnandar; Agung Permana; Zakaria, Rinny Apriliany; Dijan Rahajuni
Journal of Economics Development Issues Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Economics Development Issues
Publisher : UPN "Veteran" Jawa Timur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33005/jedi.v8i2.412

Abstract

In international economic studies, the relationship between exports and economic growth has long been a subject of debate. Two key hypotheses growth-led export and export-led growth have been proposed to explain this linkage. This study investigates the validity of both hypotheses in four ASEAN NICs (Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, and the Philippines) from 2000 to 2023 using the Granger Causality Test. It also examines the interaction between the two variables through a linear framework utilizing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The Granger causality results indicate that economic growth causally influences exports, thereby supporting the growth-led export hypothesis in all four countries. Moreover, the ARDL findings reveal that economic growth exerts a positive impact on exports in both the short and long term. These results underscore the importance of promoting economic activity, particularly in productive sectors that can strengthen export performance.
Co-Authors Abdul Majid Refindo Afinka Ramandani Nurhidayat Aflah Fadilah HD Arief Eka Nugraha Athiyyah Nursyifa Tisnandar Desmawan, Deris Dijan Rahajuni Febri Hikmah Frihatini Fikri Khusaini Ikbal Ira Savira Juliansyah Muhamad Syahril Anwarudin Muhammad Rinaldi Pratama Nurazizah Rahmah Nur Hidayah Rany Febriani Rian Sopian Rifda Rachmanda Sarnimah Selly Apriyani Silvia Indah Sari Sintiya Elfariani Syefi Ersya Agustin Tharisa Ayu Pranovcy Zakaria, Rinny Apriliany