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All Journal Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian Agripreneur : Jurnal Pertanian Agribisnis
Adi, Aswan
Institut Pertanian Bogor
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Immunology & microbiology

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NERACA KETERSEDIAAN BERAS DI KALIMANTAN TIMUR SEBAGAI CALON IBUKOTA BARU INDONESIA DENGAN PENDEKATAN SISTEM DINAMIK Adi, Aswan; Rachmina, Dwi; Krisnamurthi, Y Bayu
Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian Vol 19, No 2 (2021): Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian - Desember 2021
Publisher : Pusat Sosial Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pertanian

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21082/akp.v19n2.2021.207-218

Abstract

Rice is the main and strategic commodity in East Kalimantan Province as primary food source. Rice production in this province was relatively low, around  66.57% of its consumption need, or at 33.43% deficit in 2019. This deficit will continue to increase if East Kalimantan becomes the country's capital city in 2025 due to arrival of new residents. Therefore, a proper policy to improve the balance of rice production and consumption need should be designed. This study aimed to develop rice availability balance model and formulate policy recommendation to fullfil the rice needs in the country's capital city candidate. The method used was dynamic system approach as rice balance availability determined by supply and demand sub-system. The study results showed that the model developed could describe the rice availability balance in East Kalimantan and had good validity level. Based on the simulation results on the existing condition in 2025, the rice availability in East Kalimantan as the country's capital city was only 44.80% of the consumption need. A recommended policy scenario to improve the rice balance in this provionce is the combination of policies on production and consumption sides, namely minimal rice planting index at 1.9 (irrigation) and 1.2 (without irrigation), minimum rice yield at 4.67 tons per ha (irrigation) and 3.50 ton per ha (without irrigation), open up new rice field  at 1,000 ha, no rice field conversion, conversion rate from unhusk paddy to rice yield at 64%, and maximum per capita rice consumption at 80 kg/year.
INTERPRETIVE STRUCTURAL MODELLING: FAKTOR-FAKTOR KUNCI PENYEDIAAN BERAS DI KABUPATEN PENAJAM PASER UTARA Adi, Aswan; Rachmina, Dwi; Krisnamurthi, Bayu
Agripreneur : Jurnal Pertanian Agribisnis Vol. 14 No. 2 (2025): December: Ilmu Pertanian dan Bidang Terkait
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/agripreneur.v14i2.6746

Abstract

Pemindahan Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN), menyebabkan peningkatan jumlah penduduk secara signifikan dan mempengaruhi neraca ketersediaan beras di Kab. PPU. Pada penelitian ini melihat lebih dalam terkait faktor-faktor kunci apa saja yang paling berpengaruh terhadap penyediaan beras, yang dapat dijadikan sebagai bahan pertimbangan penyusunan kebijakan untuk meningkatkan ketersediaan beras di Kabupaten Penajam Paser Utara (Kab. PPU). Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu analisis Interpretive Structural Modelling (ISM) dengan melihat daya dorong (DP) dan ketergantungan (D) pada setiap sub elemen (faktor). Hasil analisis terdapat 14 sub elemen yang diperoleh dengan Focus Group Discussion bersama key informan, sehingga setiap variabel tersebar ke dalam posisi independent, linkage, dan dependent, dimana setiap posisi menggambarkan peran dan pengaruh terhadap ketersediaan beras di Kab. PPU. Kesimpulannya yaitu faktor kunci pada sektor penyediaan beras (rata-rata DP=0,89 dan D=0,43) meliputi perluasan lahan, kelembagaan petani, penyuluhan, dan penekanan konversi. Implikasi kebijakan yang dapat dilakukan meliputi perluasan lahan melalui program cetak sawah di daerah yang berpotensi, penguatan kelembagaan dalam menekan konversi lahan, dan efektifitas kegiatan penyuluhan.
Co-Authors Bayu Krisnamurthi Dwi Rachmina