Ahmad Zafrullah TN.
Fakultas Bisnis dan Ekonomika Universitas Surabaya

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HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA NILAI TUKAR EFEKTIF RIIL RUPIAH DAN PENANAMAN MODAL ASING LANGSUNG DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2000 – 2015 Dimas Andy Bugiswo; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Sugeng Hariadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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This study aims to examine the causality relationship between real effective exchange rate and foreign direct investment in Indonesia as the host country. This study uses a quantitative approach with Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Vector Autoregressive (VAR) methods based on the monthly data of the total Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in Indonesia and the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) of rupiah during January 2000 to December 2015 period. This study is a reference to the research that has been done before in various countries including Asian countries such as China. According to the results of the empirical test, the real effective exchange rate has a positive impact on the foreign direct investment and statistically significance, this shows that the appreciation of rupiah promotes FDI inflow into Indonesia. The empirical result also shows that there is a correlation between the two variable and the causality of both variables are significant. The author believes that this phenomenon might be possible because the relationship between the two variable is dependent on the motives and the expectation of the future earning by the investing firms.
STUDI EKPLORATORIS DAYA TARIK DESTINASI WISATA DI TROWULAN KABUPATEN MOJOKERTO, 2017 Windy Arista; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Firman Rosjadi Djoemadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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One of the sectors driving economic growth is tourism. The development of tourism has an important role in increasing the absorption of manpower, encouraging the equalization of business opportunity, encouraging the equitable distribution of national development, and contributing to the country's foreign exchange revenue generated from the number of foreign tourists visiting. In this Mojokerto regency aggressively promote tourism in the region, one of which is cultural heritage tourism in Trowulan which has been national standard. This study aims to observe the attractiveness of tourist destinations in Trowulan, the analysis is done by interviewing methods that use 4 components of attraction of tourist destinations (Crouch & Ritchie, 1999) ie Mix of activities, facilitating resources, organization and location. The findings of this study that there is a lack of activity, the gap between organizations and facilities that have not been good if they see the status as a national cultural heritage.
PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI INDONESIA SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH PEMBERLAKUAN MEA Intan Roosdiantoro; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Firman Rosjadi Djoemadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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This study explains about the conditions of Indonesia's Economic Growth before and after the enactment of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC). This research uses qualitative descriptive approach by using qualitative descriptive analysis. In addition to focus on the conditions of Indonesia's Economic Growth before and after the enactment of the MEA, this research will also explain about one of the issues which related to Indonesia's Economic Growth before and after the MEA's implementation. The issue is about the cause of the low competitiveness of the Indonesian economy to Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand before and following the enactment of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC). The findings of this study indicate that Indonesia's Economic Growth before and after the enactment of the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) is in a different, volatile, and fairly stable condition. When compared, after the implementation of AEC Indonesia's Economic Growth has decreased. It shows that, AEC has no positive impact on Indonesia Economic Growth. There are various factors that cause it one of them is the significant impact of the AEC can not be seen in the short term but in the long run. Even if Indonesia's Economic Growth is stable, there are various problems that occur and potentially adversely affect Indonesia's Economic Growth. The low competitiveness of the Indonesian economy against Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand is due to the ongoing domestic problems that hamper Indonesiacompetitiveness in the globalized world. These problems include the low ease of licensing and doing business, infrastructure problems, and bureaucratic issues.
KONSUMSI LISTRIK DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA, 1995-2015 Febryta Aldila Shinta D.; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Firman Rosjadi Djoemadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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The paper seeks to analyze the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in Indonesia using Granger Causality Test method. The study also applied ADF UnitRoots Test and Johansen Cointegration Test to ascertain the stasionerity and the relationship between variables that was examined. This paper’s study used time series datas in the period 1995-2015. Based on results, the study found the existence of significantly impact of the variables on economic growth. This study also showed an evidence of one-directional causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth.
PERAN PT. PERTAMINA SEBAGAI PENYEDIA PASOKAN BAHAN BAKAR MINYAK DI INDONESIA Nelci Dolfina Japari; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Firman Rosjadi Djoemadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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Petroleum has a very important role in the Indonesian economy as asource of energy for domestic economic activities. Along with the increasingeconomic development and population growth and transportation in Indonesiaresulted in increased fuel consumption (BBM), while the production of petroleumIndonesia is still very limited. This becomes a problem when dependence on non-renewable fuels such as higher fuel oil (BBM). The dependence of a country onthe import of energy will greatly affect the state of national energy security. PT.Pertamina is engaged in downstream gas station business. This study aims toanalyze PT. Pertamina as a dominant company and fuel competition in theoligopoly market to identify the advantages possessed by PT. Pertamina incompeting in the downstream business.
PENGARUH EKSPOR TEH INDONESIA, 2000-201 Wanda Wuri; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Idfi Setyaningrum
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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Tea has a significant contribution to Indonesia's economic subsector by contributing through export activities every year. The main object of this research is to identifty and analyze factors inffluencing most toward export volume Indonesian tea. Data which is used is the secondary data and used quantitative approach (time seires) from 2000 to 2015 period were further analyzed using the Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The independent variables used in this study are export price of Indonesian tea, domestic price of Indonesian tea and exchange rate, while the dependent variable used in this study is the export volume of Indonesian tea. The result shows that all the long run the variables that influence significantly to export volume are export prices, domestic prices and exchange rate.
PENGARUH EKSPOR DAN IMPOR TERHADAP POSISI CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA PERIODE 1991-2015 NURO IRAWATI; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Sugeng Hariadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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Foreign exchange reserves can be an important indicator to see how far the country can trade internationally and to show the strong weakness of a country's economic fundamentals. The size of foreign exchange reserves is influenced by several factors, one of which is export and import activities. This study aims to identify the effect of exports and imports on the position of Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. The object used in this study is the Indonesian state with a period of 25 years from 1991 to 2015. This study uses a quantitative approach with the Vector Autoregression method (VAR) using Eviews 9. The findings of research results show that the current foreign exchange reserves are influenced by foreign exchange reserves one year ago positively, exports one year ago negatively, imports one year ago positively, exports two years ago positively, imports two years ago negatively. Exports and imports may affect Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves in accordance with the theory that export exports have a significant positive effect and imports have significantly negative impact on new foreign exchange reserves will be seen in the next two years.
PERKEMBANGAN EKSPOR DAN STRATEGI PAKAIAN JADI INDONESIA PERIODE 2012 –2016 Adelia Happy Rizky R.; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Made Siti Sundari
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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This paper discusses the development and strategies of export apparel in Indonesia period 2012 –2016. The purpose of this study is to analyze the development of Indonesia’s apparel exports over period of 5 years ( 2012 –2016 ). This research uses descriptive qualitative method to improve the condition that happened about Indonesia’s apparel. The data used in the research is apparel data from 2012 –2016 obtained by government agencies and literature study. The result show that the development of apparel export in 2012–2013 has increased steadily. But in 2013 –2016 the export of apparel has decreased continuously because of the sluggishness of the world economy and the tightness of international market competition and some strategies can be done by the business and the government’s support for the apparel.
PERKEMBANGAN EKSPOR NON-MIGAS INDONESIAPERIODE 2012-2016 Muhammad Multazam; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Bambang Budiarto
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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The purpose of this study is to analyze the development of Indonesia's non-oil / gas exports from various sectors and commodities over the period of 5 years (2012-2016) and to examine the export potential of Indonesia's sectors and commodities in the face of competition in the international market. This research uses descriptive qualitative method to improve the condition that happened about. Export of non oil and gas indonesia. The data used in the research is non-oil export data from 2012to 2016 obtained by government agencies and literature study. The result of research shows that the development of non oil and gas export in Indonesia tends to decrease. the causes of such price declines include the 2008-2009 global financial crisis, the decline in prices of major commodities in the market, and domestic shortages such as low competitiveness and growth rates. Opportunity development of non oil and gas export Indonesia can be maximized through government policies.
PENGARUH PARIWISATA, MONEY SUPPLY, DAN PENDAPATAN PER KAPITA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI PADA LIMA NEGARA ASEAN PERIODE 2005 - 2015 Lya Arizka Shabrina; Ahmad Zafrullah TN.; Firman Rosjadi Djoemadi
CALYPTRA Vol. 7 No. 2 (2019): Calyptra : Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Universitas Surabaya (Maret)
Publisher : Perpustakaan Universitas Surabaya

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The economic growth of the five ASEAN countries is influenced by various factors. The main purpose of this study is to analyze the influence of Tourism, Money Supply, and Per Capita Income on the Economic Growth of the five ASEAN countries in 2005-2015 period. To find out the research hypothesis used econometric model with the method of OLS (Ordinary Least Square), which is estimated using Eviews 6. From the analysis results can be concluded that the variable of Tourism, Money Supply, and Per Capita Incom based on test results together, all variables together -the same significant effect on the Economic Growth of the five ASEAN countries at a significance level of 5% with a probability of 9.731762. While individually, variable Income Per Capita have positive and insignificant effect to Economic Growth with coefficient 0.395975. Tourism variable has positive and insignificant effect to Economic Growth with coefficient of 0.029077. Money Supply variable has positive and significant effect to Economic Growth with coefficient of 0.03303.