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All Journal TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Dongxiao Niu
North China Electric Power University
Computer Science & IT

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Cost Forecasting Model of Transmission Project based on the PSO-BP Method Yan Lu; Dongxiao Niu; Bingjie Li; Min Yu
TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Vol 12, No 4: December 2014
Publisher : Universitas Ahmad Dahlan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.12928/telkomnika.v12i4.439

Abstract

In order to solve being sensitive to the initial weights, slow convergence, being easy to fall into local minimum and other problems of the BP neural network, this paper introduces the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm into the Artificial Neural Network training, and construct a BP neural network model optimized by the particle swarm optimization. This method can speed up the convergence and improve the prediction accuracy. Through the analysis of the main factors on the cost of transmission line project, dig out the path and lead factors, topography and meteorological factors, the tower and the tower base materials and other factors. Use the PSO-BP model for the cost forecasting of transmission line project based on historical project data. The result shows that the method can predict the cost effectively. Compared with the traditional BP neural network, the method can predict with higher accuracy, and can be generalized and applied in cost forecasting of actual projects.
Improved Fuzzy Evaluation Model Analysis of Nuclear Power Plant Operational Safety Performance Dongxiao Niu; Zongyun Song; Jinpeng Liu
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 12, No 6: June 2014
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v12.i6.pp4505-4511

Abstract

The evaluation on nuclear power plant operational safety performance had great significance on whether the nuclear power plant operated safely or not. Currently the academic literatures on nuclear power plant operational safety performance are rare. Improved Fuzzy evaluation model which introduce confidence level had been used into the evaluation of nuclear power plant operational safety performance. The article built safety performance indicator system and further established importance level evaluation matrix which showed the indexes relative importance, and established performance evaluation matrix which represented indicators impact on operational effect. From the importance level evaluation matrix the weigh and confidence of indicators can be gained and from the performance evaluation matrix the evaluation matrix can be gained. The preliminary evaluation result and synthetic confidence can be obtained by multiplying evaluation matrix by indicator weigh and confidence, and then the final evaluation result can be achieved. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.11591/telkomnika.v12i6.5389
Co-Authors Bingjie Li Jinpeng Liu Min Yu Yan Lu Zongyun Song