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All Journal Jurnal Matematika: MANTIK JURNAL PENDIDIKAN MIPA
Sitti Aisah
Universitas Islam Madura
Education Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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PENERAPAN METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH KLAIM DI BPJS KESEHATAN PAMEKASAN Faisol Faisol; Sitti Aisah
Jurnal Matematika MANTIK Vol. 2 No. 1 (2016): Mathematics and Applied Mathematics
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (178.967 KB)

Abstract

Time series model is the model used to predict the future using past data, one example of a time series model is exponential smoothing. Exponential smoothing method is a repair procedure performed continuously at forecasting the most recent data. In this study the exponential smoothing method is applied to predict the number of claims in the health BPJS Pamekasan using data from the period January 2014 to December 2015, the measures used to obtain the output of this research there are four stages, namely 1) the identification of data, 2) Modeling, 3) forecasting, 4) Evaluation of forecasting results with RMSE and MAPE. Based on the research methodology, the result for the period 25 = 833.828, the 26 = 800.256, period 27 = 766.684, a period of 28 = 733.113, period 29 = 699.541, and the period of 30 = 655, 970. Value for RMSE = 98.865 and MAPE = 7.002, In this case the moving average method is also used to compare the results of forecasting with double exponential smoothing method. Forecasting results for the period 25 = 899.208, the 26 = 885, 792, 27 = 872.375 period, a period of 28 = 858.958, period 29 = 845.542, and the period of 30 = 832.125. Value for RMSE = 101.131 and MAPE = 7.756. Both methods together - both have very good performance because the value of MAPE is below 10%, but the method of exponential smoothing has a value of RMSE and MAPE are smaller than the moving average method.
Pengaruh Model Inkuiri Terbimbing dengan Alat Peraga Barbeku terhadap Pemahaman Konsep Siswa pada Materi Hukum Newton Chairatul Umamah; Herman Jufri Andi; Sitti Aisah
JURNAL PENDIDIKAN MIPA Vol 11 No 2 (2021): JURNAL PENDIDIKAN MIPA
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Ilmiah, STKIP Taman Siswa Bima

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37630/jpm.v11i2.505

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan mengidentifikasi dan mendeskripsikan pengaruh signifikansi antara model pembelajaran inkuiri terbimbing dengan alat peraga barbeku dibandingkan dengan model pembelajaran konvensional terhadap pemahaman konsep fisika siswa. Penelitian yang digunakan adalah quasi experiment dengan bentuk desain eksperimen pretest-posttest control group design. Populasinya adalah kelas X MA Al-Islamiyah 1 Blumbungan dengan sampel sebanyak dua kelas yang diperoleh dari purposive sampling. Instrumen yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini yaitu berupa Tes Pemahaman Konsep, Instrument Silabus, RPP, Lembar Kerja Siswa, Pretest dan Posttest. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, dapat diketahui bahwa nilai pretest - posttest pada kelas kontol 27,27 dan 55,45 sedangkan nilai pretest - posttest pada kelas eksperimen 20.91 dan 81,36. Hasil uji normalitas menggunakan uji Shapiro-wilk diketahui bahwa nilai signifikan pretest - posttest pada kelas kontrol dan kelas eksperimen berdistribusi normal dengan nilai signifikan > 0,05. Berdasarkan hasil uji hipotesis menggunakan uji independent sampel t-test dengan bantuan spss versi 25 diperoleh data thitung sebesar 6,751 dan signifikansi 0,000. Dari perhitungan tersebut dapat diketahui bahwa thitung > ttabel, karena nilai thitung = 6,751 dan nilai ttabel = 0,000. Mengacu pada dasar pengambilan keputusan dalam uji independent sampel t-test, jika nilai sig (2-tailed) < 0,05 maka H0 ditolak dan Ha diterima.
Co-Authors Chairatul Umamah Faisol, Faisol Herman Jufri Andi, Herman Jufri