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KAJIAN PERSEBARAN KOMODITAS TEH: PENGEMBANGAN KAWASAN PERKEBUNAN TEH DI PROVINSI JAWA BARAT Muhammad Basorudin; Aniisa Rizqi; Sri Murdaningrum; Windi Maharani
Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol 15 No 3 (2019): Oktober 2019
Publisher : Hasanuddin University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (544.951 KB) | DOI: 10.20956/jsep.v15i3.6792

Abstract

Tea is one of the main commodities that is a mainstay of Indonesian exports and has been exported to 78 countries on five continents. However, the development of the volume of Indonesian tea exports tends to decline from 2011 to 2015. Therefore, this study aims to find out which districts are potential areas and non-potential areas in West Java Province as the largest tea-producing region in Indonesia. Then, to find out the growth rate of tea production in each district in West Java Province and how the area is spread based on its potential. The method used is Location Quotient, Shift Share, and Quadrant Method. Based on the research, it was found that the area that has potential and became the basis so that its construction can contribute significantly to tea plantations in West Java Province are Bandung, Cianjur, Purwakarta, Bandung Barat, Garut, Tasikmalaya, and Sukabumi. Then, the calculation results with this quadrant indicate that the mainstay tea plantation area is in the Sukabumi, Cianjur, Bandung, Garut, and West Bandung regions.
Forecasting Produksi Kayu Bulat di Indonesia Aniisa Rizqi; Hanif Palupi; Novantia Novantia; Bayu Rhamadani Wicaksono; RR. Nila Indrasari
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2022 No 1 (2022): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2022
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (296.4 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2022i1.1387

Abstract

For next 15 years, the SDGs aim to end poverty, hunger, and realize sustainable development in social, economic, and environmental dimensions. Indonesia that has production forests is an important contributor for the SDGs achievement, particularly in the economic (Goal 12) and environmental dimensions (Goal 15). The SDGs implementation was hampered by the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 so the Indonesian economic growth declined. On the other hand, the agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sectors continued to grow positively. Currently, SDGs are the main reference for determining national government programs and policies and data is the primary key for the government to achieve sustainable forestry. However, there is no data on the potential growth of Indonesian logs production so this study aims to forecasting logs production in Indonesia using ARIMA. The forecasting results with ARIMA (3,1,1) as the best ARIMA model show that the 2021Q1-2022Q4 data is slightly volatile with an upward trend.