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All Journal JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN Diponegoro Journal of Economics JEJAK AFEBI Economic and Finance Review Indicators : Journal of Economic and Business JURNAL ECONOMINA ARMADA : Jurnal Penelitian Multidisiplin
Banatul Hayati
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Relationship Between Crude Oil Price Fluctuations, Economic Growth, Inflation, and Exchange Rate in Indonesia 1967-2019 Nitami, Salwinar Aprin; Hayati, Banatul
AFEBI Economic and Finance Review Vol. 6 No. 2 (2021): December
Publisher : Asosiasi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47312/aefr.v6i2.665

Abstract

Economic fluctuations can be caused by demand shocks and supply shocks. One of the supply shocks is caused by changes in world crude oil prices. As a net importer of crude oil, any change in crude oil prices makes domestic economic activity vulnerable to these shocks. The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of fluctuations in world crude oil prices on economic variables in Indonesia in the form of economic growth, inflation, and exchange rates. In addition, this study also analyzes the causal relationship between these variables. The type of data used is secondary data sourced from the BP Statistical Review of World Energy and the Worldbank. This research uses the VAR/VECM method, the research period was carried out during the years 1967-2019. The results showed that during 1967-2019 fluctuations in world crude oil prices had a significant positive effect on economic growth and had a significant negative effect on inflation and the exchange rate in the long run. Meanwhile, in the short term, world crude oil price fluctuations do not significantly affect economic growth, inflation, and the exchange rate. The results of the Granger causality show that there is no two-way causality relationship between variables. Keywords: Fluctuation World Crude Oil Price, Economic Growth, Inflation, Exchange Rate, VAR/VECM, Granger Causality Test
Analysis ICT Effect on Indonesian Exports With Emerging Market Countries Putri, Rinanda Dwirintha; Hayati, Banatul
AFEBI Economic and Finance Review Vol. 6 No. 2 (2021): December
Publisher : Asosiasi Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47312/aefr.v6i2.666

Abstract

The development of information and communication technology (ICT) has recently affected international trade besides macroeconomic variables. This study aims to analyze the influence of ICTs (internet users, mobile cellular subscriptions, and fixed telephone subscriptions) and macroeconomic variables (population, economic distance, real GDP per capita, and real exchange rate) on Indonesian export performance with 6 countries emerging markets. This study uses secondary data sourced from UN Comtrade, International Telecommunication Union (ITU), World Bank, Distancefrom.net, and Federal Reserve Economic Data. Then, this study uses a static panel data analysis with the Ordinary Least Suares (OLS) method. The results showed that internet users had a positive and significant effect on export performance, and fixed telephone subscriptions had a negative and insignificant effect. Other results showed that the population had a positive and significant effect on export performance, the distance of the economy had a negative and significant effect on export performance, real per capita GDP had a negative and insignificant effect on export performance, and the real exchange rate had a negative and significant effect on export performance. Keywords: emerging markets, export performance, ICT, macroeconomic variables, OLS methods.
Pengaruh Persepsi tentang Harga Jual, Volume Penjualan, Kredit Wibawa, dan Penjualan Online Terhadap Pendapatan UMKM di Kota Semarang Falah, Wishal Asdicky; Hayati, Banatul
Journal of Economics and Business Vol 5, No 2 (2023): November
Publisher : Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Cabang Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47729/indicators.v5i2.163

Abstract

Perkembangan jumlah UMKM di Kota Semarang terlihat masih tertinggal jika dibandingkan dengan Kota Surakarta, Kabupaten Demak, dan Kabupaten Kebumen. Disisi lain, UMKM di Kota Semarang juga dihadapkan pada permasalahan lain, yakni rata-rata pendapatan pelaku UMKM masih dibawah standar upah minimum. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh persepsi tentang harga jual, volume penjualan, kredit wibawa, dan penjualan online terhadap pendapatan UMKM Kota Semarang. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode survei dengan melibatkan kuesioner terhadap pelaku UMKM untuk mendapatkan data primer. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda dengan alat analisis IBM SPSS Statistic 25. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel persepsi harga jual, persepsi volume penjualan, dan persepsi penjualan online berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap variabel persepsi pendapatan. Sedangkan, variabel persepsi kredit wibawa tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap variabel persepsi pendapatan.
Co-Authors Achma Hendra Setiawan Ardhika Sukmasakti H Attamimi, Muhammad Agil Edy Yusuf Agung Gunanto Falah, Wishal Asdicky Fanita Osha Tazkia M. N, Ripdian Nisa Mahardika, Gita Sukma Andini Nitami, Salwinar Aprin Nurasita Indah Suri Putri, Rinanda Dwirintha Rinanda Dwirintha Putri Ronny Pitartono Suri, Nurasita Indah Sutarji, Theana Dominica Wulandari, Citra Ayu Rossi