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Analisis Data Panel Least Squares dan Panel ARDL terhadap Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Angka Harapan Hidup di Indonesia tahun 2010-2024 Muhammad Ryan Mahendra; Syamsurijal Tan; Yohanes Vyn Amzar
Benefit: Journal of Bussiness, Economics, and Finance Vol. 4 No. 3 (2026): BENEFIT: Journal Of Business, Economics, and Finance
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian Dan Publikasi Ilmiah (lppi) Yayasan Almahmudi Bin Dahlan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70437/benefit.v4i3.1925

Abstract

This study examines the effect of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), mean years of schooling, and poverty rate on life expectancy across 34 provinces in Indonesia during the period 2010–2024. The study employs panel data regression using the Random Effect Model (REM) and Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL). The panel data regression results indicate that GDP and mean years of schooling have a positive and significant effect on life expectancy, while the poverty rate has a negative but insignificant effect. The Panel ARDL results show that in the short run, GDP has a positive and significant effect, mean years of schooling has a negative and significant effect, while the poverty rate has no significant effect on life expectancy. In the long run, GDP and the poverty rate have a negative and significant effect, whereas mean years of schooling has a positive and significant effect on life expectancy.
DETERMINAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI 9 NEGARA ASEAN TAHUN 2003-2023 Gazania Dara Silvia. R; Syaparuddin; Yohanes Vyn Amzar
Jurnal Riset Multidisiplin Edukasi Vol. 3 No. 6 (2026): Jurnal Riset Multidisiplin Edukasi (Juni 2026)
Publisher : PT. Hasba Edukasi Mandiri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.71282/jurmie.v3i6.2337

Abstract

The primary objective of the research is to analyze the changes in inflation, investment, exports, Human Development Index (HDI), and economic growth, as well as to examine the effects of inflation, investment, exports, and HDI on economic growth in the short run and long run in nine ASEAN countries during the period 2003–2023. The countries examined in this study are Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Timor-Leste, Thailand, and Vietnam. This study uses secondary panel data obtained from the World Development Indicators and the United Nations Development Programme. The analytical methods employed are descriptive analysis and quantitative analysis using the Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL) approach. The results indicate that the variables in the model have a cointegration relationship, suggesting the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship. The long-run estimation results show that exports have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while HDI has a negative and significant effect. Meanwhile, inflation and investment do not have a significant effect on economic growth in the long run. In the short run, exports and HDI have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while inflation and investment do not show a significant effect. The negative and significant error correction term indicates an adjustment process toward long-run equilibrium. Overall, exports are found to be the most consistent variable with a significant effect on economic growth in the nine ASEAN countries during the study period.