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All Journal Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Kinerja Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Joko Waluyo
Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Pembangunan Nasional “Veteran” Yogyakarta
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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PERANAN VARIABEL EKONOMI MAKRO TERHADAP INFLASI PASCAPENERAPAN INFLATION TARGETING FRAMEWORK (ITF) 1 DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1999.1-2008.6 Waluyo, Joko; Ulfah, Ria
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 11, No 1 (2010): JEP Juni 2010
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The objective of this research is to analyze the effect of macroeconomics variable, which is real exchange rate, SBI, M1 and GDP to domestic inflation in Inflation Targeting Framework. This research also intended to analyze effect of macroeconomics to inflation, which been transmitted through interest rate and will give us a big picture on what’s the next monetary policies. We used monthly time series data 1999:01–2008:06 and applied Vector Error Correction Model to analyze the phenomenon. Real exchange rate, SBI (quarterly), M1 and GDP have positive effect to the inflation, but only real exchange rate and SBI (quarterly) which has permanent and long term effect. The real exchange rate has strong effect on inflation stability because, by applying ITF. The free-floating exchange rate system should be applied, and the fragile currency shall be easily fluctuated.
PENGARUH PEMBIAYAAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN TERHADAP INFLASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI: SUATU SIMULASI MODEL EKONOMI MAKRO INDONESIA 1970 – 2003 Waluyo, Joko
KINERJA Vol 10, No 1 (2006): Kinerja
Publisher : Faculty of Economics Universitas Atma Jaya Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24002/kinerja.v10i1.915

Abstract

The objective of this research is to identify the impact of budget deficit financing oninflation and economic growth. Simulation are conducted using the small open macroeconomics model specified by Waluyo (2005) with 10.000 replication on the stochastic simulation. Using the secondary data of the Indonesian economy from 1970 to 2003, simulation results show that budget deficit financing from foreign debt and monetary policies would increase the economic growth, but inflationary. On the other hand, tax effort policies are considered to be better, since simulation results show that they would improve economic growth without being inflationary.Keywords: budget deficit, macroeconomic model, economic growth, simulation
PERANAN PAJAK UNTUK MENINGKATKAN KEMANDIRIAN ANGGARAN Waluyo, Joko
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 10, No 2 (2009): JEP Desember 2009
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v10i2.798

Abstract

The main subject of this paper are the role of tax revenue to central government budget and how reforms it to increase tax revenue. Financing budget deficits represent one of cause of state budget become annoyed. Ratio tax - PDB ranging from 13 – 15 percent showing good improvement, although still not yet optimal. Ratio tax – revenue and tax - expenditure progressively mount which indication that important taxation role progressively in budget revenue sources. In year of the research showing by change of tax structure from oil tax become the non oil tax, and also from indirect tax become to the direct taxes. Role of direct taxes progressively mount in taxation structure. Tax effort indicator and elasticity of tax revenue indicate that the good imposition efficiency progressively. To increase tax revenue without giving distortion to economics require to be conducted by a taxation reform.
PERANAN VARIABEL EKONOMI MAKRO TERHADAP INFLASI PASCAPENERAPAN INFLATION TARGETING FRAMEWORK (ITF) 1 DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1999.1-2008.6 Waluyo, Joko; Ulfah, Ria
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 11, No 1 (2010): JEP Juni 2010
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v11i1.334

Abstract

The objective of this research is to analyze the effect of macroeconomics variable, which is real exchange rate, SBI, M1 and GDP to domestic inflation in Inflation Targeting Framework. This research also intended to analyze effect of macroeconomics to inflation, which been transmitted through interest rate and will give us a big picture on what’s the next monetary policies. We used monthly time series data 1999:01–2008:06 and applied Vector Error Correction Model to analyze the phenomenon. Real exchange rate, SBI (quarterly), M1 and GDP have positive effect to the inflation, but only real exchange rate and SBI (quarterly) which has permanent and long term effect. The real exchange rate has strong effect on inflation stability because, by applying ITF. The free-floating exchange rate system should be applied, and the fragile currency shall be easily fluctuated.
ANALISIS CROWDING OUT EFFECT PENERBITAN OBLIGASINEGARA: STUDIKASUS PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA PERIODE 1970 - 2003 Waluyo, Joko
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 7, No 1 (2006) : JEP Juni 2006
Publisher : Universitas Muhammdaiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v7i1.3994

Abstract

The main subject of this research are to proof what issuing government bonds give impact to crowding out effect for private investment. The research design used simultaneous equation modeling, consisting of 17 behavioral equation and 18 identity equation with 6 blocks. Behavioral equation with estimated by tsls (two stage least square). This study use secondary data from Indonesian economy since 1970 until 2003. The econometric test to result BLUE estimator. The Result is issuing government bonds dont cause crowding out effect to private investment.
Hubungan Antara Tingkat Kesenjangan Pendapatan dengan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi: Suatu Studi Lintas Negara Joko Waluyo
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Vol. 9 No. 1 (2004)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/vol9iss1aa621

Abstract

This major topic in this study is relationships between income inequality and economic growth. The study will examine the relationships between income inequality and growth via investment impact to redistribution,. This model spefisification from endogenous growth model with capital market imperfection exist, in notation with single equation linier model. Data from Deininger data base, cross section data for 60 countries. We  estimate  this regression model with OLS with Newey-West HAC standard error and fulfill CLRM assumption. This result are: a) The relationships income inequality, asset inequality with growth are negative and significant. b) Investment does not have positive impact with income redistribution, but give impact to increase resource allocation efficiency. Keywords: Income inequolity, economic growth, capital market imperfection.
PENGARUH PEMBIAYAAN DEFISIT ANGGARAN TERHADAP INFLASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI: SUATU SIMULASI MODEL EKONOMI MAKRO INDONESIA 1970 – 2003 Joko Waluyo
KINERJA Vol. 10 No. 1 (2006): Kinerja
Publisher : Faculty of Business and Economics Universitas Atma Jaya Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24002/kinerja.v10i1.915

Abstract

The objective of this research is to identify the impact of budget deficit financing oninflation and economic growth. Simulation are conducted using the small open macroeconomics model specified by Waluyo (2005) with 10.000 replication on the stochastic simulation. Using the secondary data of the Indonesian economy from 1970 to 2003, simulation results show that budget deficit financing from foreign debt and monetary policies would increase the economic growth, but inflationary. On the other hand, tax effort policies are considered to be better, since simulation results show that they would improve economic growth without being inflationary.Keywords: budget deficit, macroeconomic model, economic growth, simulation
PERANAN PAJAK UNTUK MENINGKATKAN KEMANDIRIAN ANGGARAN Joko Waluyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 10, No 2 (2009): JEP Desember 2009
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v10i2.798

Abstract

The main subject of this paper are the role of tax revenue to central government budget and how reforms it to increase tax revenue. Financing budget deficits represent one of cause of state budget become annoyed. Ratio tax - PDB ranging from 13 – 15 percent showing good improvement, although still not yet optimal. Ratio tax – revenue and tax - expenditure progressively mount which indication that important taxation role progressively in budget revenue sources. In year of the research showing by change of tax structure from oil tax become the non oil tax, and also from indirect tax become to the direct taxes. Role of direct taxes progressively mount in taxation structure. Tax effort indicator and elasticity of tax revenue indicate that the good imposition efficiency progressively. To increase tax revenue without giving distortion to economics require to be conducted by a taxation reform.
ANALISIS CROWDING OUT EFFECT PENERBITAN OBLIGASINEGARA: STUDIKASUS PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA PERIODE 1970 - 2003 Joko Waluyo
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 7, No 1 (2006) : JEP Juni 2006
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v7i1.3994

Abstract

The main subject of this research are to proof what issuing government bonds give impact to crowding out effect for private investment. The research design used simultaneous equation modeling, consisting of 17 behavioral equation and 18 identity equation with 6 blocks. Behavioral equation with estimated by tsls (two stage least square). This study use secondary data from Indonesian economy since 1970 until 2003. The econometric test to result BLUE estimator. The Result is issuing government bonds don't cause crowding out effect to private investment.
PERANAN VARIABEL EKONOMI MAKRO TERHADAP INFLASI PASCAPENERAPAN INFLATION TARGETING FRAMEWORK (ITF) 1 DI INDONESIA TAHUN 1999.1-2008.6 Joko Waluyo; Ria Ulfah
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan: Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 11, No 1 (2010): JEP Juni 2010
Publisher : Muhammadiyah University Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/jep.v11i1.334

Abstract

The objective of this research is to analyze the effect of macroeconomics variable, which is real exchange rate, SBI, M1 and GDP to domestic inflation in Inflation Targeting Framework. This research also intended to analyze effect of macroeconomics to inflation, which been transmitted through interest rate and will give us a big picture on what’s the next monetary policies. We used monthly time series data 1999:01–2008:06 and applied Vector Error Correction Model to analyze the phenomenon. Real exchange rate, SBI (quarterly), M1 and GDP have positive effect to the inflation, but only real exchange rate and SBI (quarterly) which has permanent and long term effect. The real exchange rate has strong effect on inflation stability because, by applying ITF. The free-floating exchange rate system should be applied, and the fragile currency shall be easily fluctuated.
Co-Authors Ria Ulfah Ria Ulfah, Ria