Ervan Ferdiansyah
State College of Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics (STMKG)

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Verification of Weather Predictions Using Voluntary Weather Observations Via WhatsApp and Google Forms During the Dry Season 2021 Giarno Giarno; Munawar Munawar; Ervan Ferdiansyah; Fendy Arifianto; Asri Pratiwi; Silvia Yulianti
Forum Geografi Vol 36, No 1 (2022): July 2022
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23917/forgeo.v36i1.16333

Abstract

The weather data that can be obtained through government institutions is very limited, whereas in order to increase the accuracy of weather predictions a homogeneous and dense distribution of data is needed. Therfore it is necessary to increase the data and the purpose of this research is to create a simple and effective way to encourage the number of weather observations in Indonesia through the STMKG Weather Care program. Forms that are made as easy as for respondents to understand, simple, and don't take the time. Developed using Google Form and distributed via the most popular social media today, namely WhatsApp. The test results showed that social media has the potential to be used to support voluntary weather data. The form made is sufficient so that the respondents make relatively few mistakes in terms of the main content of the form. Moreover, the mistakes that are often made by respondents include filling in ID, and typing sub-districts that require manual correction. Based on the results of voluntary observations spread in almost all provinces of Indonesia with the most incoming data coming from the provinces of Central Java and East Java. Based on the evaluation results of 4 months of testing, weather variations and their predictions can be identified with an accurate distribution, with an average accuracy of 0.79. Differences in methods used in verification may affect accuracy.
Climate Suitability Analysis of Robusta Coffee and Its Projections in South Sumatera Province Gani Hesri Whibowo; Fendy Arifianto; Ervan Ferdiansyah
Jurnal Teknik Pertanian Lampung (Journal of Agricultural Engineering) Vol 13, No 2 (2024): June 2024
Publisher : The University of Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jtep-l.v13i2.512-524

Abstract

Climate suitability will support the growth of a plant such as Robusta coffee. This study aims to analyze the suitability of the Robusta coffee plant climate and its projection in South Sumatra. Climate suitability is assessed based on the weighting of air temperature, rainfall, number of dry months, altitude, soil texture, and slopes. This study used observation data on rainfall and air temperature at 48 rain post points in the Robusta coffee farming area. The projection uses scenarios shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) 2-4.5 and 5-8.5 of the MIROC6 model with three projection periods of 2021-2030, 2031-2040, and 2041-2050. The results showed that baseline period 35% of the area as a very suitable class and 65% in fairly suitable class. Based on the projected results of scenario SSP2-4.5 period 1 to 3 have the same percentage of area, that is 91% in very suitable class and 9% in fairly suitable class. The projected results of the scenario SSP5-8.5 show an improvement but not better than scenario SSP2-4.5. The percentage of area very suitable class for periods 1 to 3 of 89%, 50%, and 85% respectively. Keywords: Climate suitability, Projection, Robusta coffee, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5.