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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Widya Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics PROCEEDINGS OF THE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DATA SCIENCE AND OFFICIAL STATISTICS Journal of Development Economic and Digitalization
Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Environmental Science Social Sciences Other

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PERENCANAAN KEHIDUPAN BERKELUARGA OLEH REMAJA SMA DI KABUPATEN MALANG Kusumo Projo, Nucke Widowati; Natalia, Christiayu
Jurnal Ilmiah Widya Vol 2 No 2 (2014)
Publisher : Lembaga Layanan Pendidikan Tinggi Wilayah III Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (88.738 KB)

Abstract

Teenagers are one of investments of the country and they should prepare their capacity buildings include family life planning. However, there are indications of family life planning behavior is not good as it occurs in adolescents in Malang. This study aims to determine the effect of the variables of knowledge and attitude towards family life planning behavior in tenth and eleventh grade of Senior High School / equivalent in District Tumpang Malang. This research used stratified cluster sampling as sampling method. The analytical methods for this research are descriptive analysis and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). The results as follow: (1) variables of knowledge and attitude affectsdirectlyto the adolescent’s behavior of family life planning. (2) Knowledge also indirectly affects the behavior of family life planning through attitude. Therefore, the Family Planning Board (BKB) and Malang Regency High School / equivalent in District Overlapping should work together to improve students' knowledge of family life planning behavior through a more effective counseling.
PENGGUNAAN GENERALIZED LINEAR AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING AVERAGE (GLARMA) DALAM ANALISIS FENOMENA RESESI DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2008Q1 – 2020Q1 Dimas Maladzi Wibawa; Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2020 No 1 (2020): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2020
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (255.148 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2020i1.413

Abstract

Resesi merupakan penurunan secara signifikan dalam kegiatan ekonomi yang tersebar di seluruh aspek ekonomi. Resesi yang berkepanjangan dapat membawa perekonomian ke arah depresi. Indonesia termasuk ke dalam kategori fragile country yang menyebabkan kerentanan untuk masuk ke masa resesi semakin besar. Resesi merupakan bagian dari siklus bisnis yang mungkin akan dialami pada suatu waktu. Penelitian ini menggunakan model ­Generalized Linear Autoregressive Moving Average (GLARMA) untuk mengakomodir prediksi peluang dari fase resesi yang di definisikan dengan metode Bry Boschan dan meramal variabel independen dengan Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Variabel yang digunakan yaitu laju inflasi, fed fund rate, transaksi berjalan, harga minyak dunia, dan selisih U.S. 10Year-Bond dengan 3-Month LIBOR. Dari hasil penandaan siklus bisnis pada Produk Domestik Bruto riil, Indonesia mengalami delapan kali resesi sejak tahun 1993Q1-2020Q1 dengan durasi terpendek selama dua triwulan dan terpanjang selama delapan triwulan. Hasil dari model GLARMA(1,0) menunjukkan bahwa resesi di Indonesia didominasi oleh faktor eksternal yang dalam penelitian ini adalah selisih U.S. 10Year-Bond dengan 3-Month LIBOR dan fed fund rate memiliki pengaruh negatif secara signifikan terhadap resesi. Autoregressive lag-1 memiliki pengaruh positif terhadap resesi atau dengan kata lain kondisi yang terjadi pada triwulan sebelumnya berpengaruh terhadap terjadinya resesi di triwulan selanjutnya. Resesi di Indonesia diprediksi terjadi pada 2020Q3.
Pemodelan Analisis Rantai Markov untuk Mengestimasi Potensi Kasus Narkoba di Indonesia Bagaskoro Cahyo Laksono; Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (290.756 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.1016

Abstract

Drug abuse not only threatens the survival and future of the abuser, but also the future of the nation and state. For this reason, up-to-date information is needed regarding the severity of drug abuse, including through recording the number of drug cases. This study aims to analyze the potential for drug cases in six provinces with the highest number of reported drug cases in Indonesia, namely North Sumatra, Jambi, Bali, Central Kalimantan, South Kalimantan and East Kalimantan. The methodology used in this research is descriptive analysis and Markov chain analysis. The results of the estimation of the number of drug cases in five years, from 2019 to 2023, show that East Kalimantan Province is the province with the most drug cases. Then followed by North Sumatra, Bali, South Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, and Jambi.
The Effect of the Digital Economy on Indecent Work in Indonesia 2019 Yuniar Putri Awaliyah Risky; Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo
Proceedings of The International Conference on Data Science and Official Statistics Vol. 2021 No. 1 (2021): Proceedings of 2021 International Conference on Data Science and Official St
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/icdsos.v2021i1.88

Abstract

The emergence of the digital economy is indicated to affect the employment sector. The job opportunities created by the digital economy provide an opportunity for workers to work in poor jobs, full of risks and indecent works. This study aims: first, to describe the economic digital and indecent work conditions in Indonesia. Second, to investigate the direct influence of infrastructure and digital media on the digital economy. Third, to examine the direct impact of the digital economy on indecent work. The data used is secondary data with observations from 34 provinces sourced from BPS and other ministries. Using the SEM-PLS analysis method, the results show that infrastructure and digital media positively impact the digital economy. Similarly, the digital economy, reflected by e-commerce sellers and buyers, has a positive and significant relationship to indecent work as reflected by Employment Excessive Working Time (EEWT), Precarious Employment Rate (PER), and non-union workers. It can be said that the increase in the digital economy influences the conditions of indecent work.
ANALISIS INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR, INVESTASI, DAN PENGANGGURAN TERHADAP KEMISKINAN DI KAWASAN TIMUR INDONESIA Julian Ichwanul Eka Pratama; Nucke Widowati Kusumo Projo
Journal of Development Economics and Digitalization Vol 3 No 1 (2024): JDED, February 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59664/jded.v3i1.7668

Abstract

Abstrak Kawasan Timur Indonesia merupakan kawasan yang memiliki permasalahan kemiskinan yang perlu untuk diperhatikan meskipun strategi-strategi pembangunan yang diterapkan sudah memperhatikan isu kemiskinan, namun kemiskinan di kawasan tersebut masih tinggi. Adanya kemiskinan cenderung memperburuk kondisi ekonomi dan sosial masyarakat, yang dikarenakan kurangnya investasi dan ketidaksempurnaan pasar. Hal inilah yang membuat masyarakat miskin apabila tidak mendapatkan intervensi eksternal, akan tetap terjebak di dalam lingkaran kemiskinan. Penelitian ini merupakan penelitian kuantitatif yang bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh industri manufaktur, investasi, dan pengangguran terhadap kemiskinan di Kawasan Timur Indonesia. Metode purposive sampling digunakan untuk memilih sampel provinsi di Kawasan Timur Indonesia periode 2010-2022. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik dengan total 117 observasi. Teknik analisis yang diterapkan adalah regresi data panel, dan model terbaik yang diperoleh adalah fixed effect model yang diperluas menggunakan feasible generalized least square. Hasil penelitian menyimpulkan bahwa: industri manufaktur memberikan pengaruh negatif yang signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Kawasan Timur Indonesia. Investasi memiliki dampak negatif yang signifikan terhadap kemiskinan di kawasan tersebut. Pengangguran memiliki pengaruh positif yang signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan di Kawasan Timur Indonesia. Kata Kunci: Industri Manufaktur, Investasi, Kemiskinan, Pengangguran Abstract The Eastern Region of Indonesia is a region that is still very concerned about poverty, even though it has become a major strategic factor in national development, poverty in this region is still high. Nurske's (1953) theory of poverty tends to worsen the economic and social conditions of society, this is due to lack of investment and market imperfections. This is what makes poor people, if they do not receive external intervention, they will remain trapped in the cycle of poverty. This research is a quantitative study which aims to determine the influence of the manufacturing industry, investment and unemployment on poverty in the Eastern Region of Indonesia. The purposive sampling method was used to select samples in the Eastern Region of Indonesia for the 2010-2022 period. Secondary data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency with a total of 117 observations. The analysis technique applied is panel data regression, and the best model adopted is the fixed effect model which is extended using feasible generalized least squares. The research results concluded that: The manufacturing industry has a significant negative influence on poverty levels in the Eastern Region of Indonesia. Investment has a significant negative impact on poverty in the region. Unemployment has a significant positive influence on poverty levels in the Eastern Region of Indonesia. Keywords: Manufacturing Industry, Investment, Poverty, Unemployment                                                                              
Co-Authors Bagaskoro Cahyo Laksono Christiayu Natalia Dimas Maladzi Wibawa Julian Ichwanul Eka Pratama Yuniar Putri Awaliyah Risky