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Putri Bintusy Syathi, Putri Bintusy
Universitas Syiah Kuala
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Physics Public Health Social Sciences

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The Granger Causality on Economic Growth and Government Expenditure in Asean Farhan Rizqullah Azhari; Putri Bintusy Syathi; Miksalmina; Megawati
International Journal of Economic, Technology and Social Sciences (Injects) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : CERED Indonesia Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53695/injects.v6i2.1557

Abstract

The expansion of the economy and public expenditure are central issues in a country's macroeconomic analysis, which is generally analyzed through two main approaches, namely the Keynesian and Wagnerian perspectives. The purpose of this study is to explore the cause-and-effect relationship between economic growth and government spending in selected ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand, throughout the 1974–2023 timeframe. The Granger causality method was applied to perform the analysis. The results indicate that only in Singapore is there a one-way causal relationship from economic growth to government spending. This means that increased economic growth drives an increase in public spending. This finding supports the applicability of Wagner's law in Singapore, where growing economic activity is followed by increased government fiscal intervention in the form of public service provision. Conversely, in Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand, no significant causal relationship was found, either one-way or two-way. This indicates that neither the Keynesian nor Wagnerian views have been empirically proven in these three countries during the observation period. In these countries, economic growth has not directly driven an increase in government spending, and conversely, government spending has not been proven to drive economic growth. Therefore, in terms of policy, Singapore needs to continue to maintain and enhance its economic growth in order to expand the provision of public facilities.
Transmission of Special Autonomic Funds in the Economy through Mediation Variables Sri Wulan Wijayanti; Abd. Jamal; Putri Bintusy Syathi
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 2 No. 3 (2021): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v2i3.174

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of special autonomy funds on physical infrastructure, education, health, and poverty as well as its effect on economic growth in Aceh Province. The effect seen is the direct or indirect effect that occurs between the realization of special autonomy funds on economic growth in Aceh Province. The physical infrastructure variables represented by the length of the road, education represented by the average length of schooling, health represented by life expectancy, and poverty represented by the percentage of poor population were intervening variables. The intervening variable is a variable that is considered capable of mediating between the independent variables and the dependent variable. The analysis model used in this study is path analysis so as to be able to see the direct and indirect effects of an independent variable on the dependent variable. The results found in this study are the realization of special autonomy funds has a direct effect on economic growth. While the indirect effect is given by the variable realization of special autonomy funds on economic growth through the length of the road, life expectancy, and the percentage of poor people. The variable of average length of schooling does not have an indirect effect between the realization of special autonomy funds on the economic growth of Aceh Province.
Tax Reform Effect on Local Tax Buoyancy in Indonesia Riyath Iskandar; Srinita Srinita; Putri Bintusy Syathi
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 2 No. 4 (2021): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v2i4.193

Abstract

This study analyzes local tax efforts through the buoyancy rate method in 423 regions consisting of 341 Regency Governments and 82 City Governments in Indonesia for the period 2007 to 2019, using the panel data regression method with a fixed effect model. The research shows that changes in regional taxation policies with Law of Republic Indonesia Number 28 year 2009 concerning Local Taxes and Charges have a positive impact on efforts to collect Local Taxes with a significant increase in the value of the regional tax buoyancy rate. The value of the local tax buoyancy rate obtained is higher for the City Government than for the Regency Government, so it is necessary to adjust regional tax policies consistently to overcome the inequality of income realization that occurs between the Regency and City Governments in order to increase regional fiscal independence.
Co-Authors Abd. Jamal Abdul Ghafar Ismail Abdul Ghafar Ismail Abdurachman, Tarmizi Zulkifli Cut Zakia Rizki Deop Darius Ermawati Ernawati Farhan Rizqullah Azhari Fitriyani Fitriyani M. Shabri Abd. Majid Megawati Miksalmina Mirza Zuhri Muazzinah Muazzinah Muliadi Muliadi Oktovianus Yesnat Riyath Iskandar Sofyan Syahnur Sri Wulan Wijayanti Srinita