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All Journal Ilomata International Journal of Management Ilomata International Journal of Management Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia JIEP: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Nuning Trihadmini
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Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Determinasi Indikator Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Terhadap Pengangguran di ASEAN6: Analisis Data Panel Jeniko, Fiona; Trihadmini, Nuning
JIEP: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol. 8 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : PPJP ULM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20527/jiep.v8i1.2061

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of unemployment in six ASEAN countries—Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam—during the 2010–2023 period, focusing on the roles of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Human Development Index (HDI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the Covid-19 pandemic. Using panel data analysis with a fixed effects model, the results show that FDI has no significant impact on unemployment, while HDI unexpectedly has a positive correlation. GDP significantly reduces unemployment, confirming the role of economic growth in absorbing labor. CPI, contrary to conventional theory, also significantly lowers unemployment. The Covid-19 pandemic, however, significantly increases unemployment across the region. These findings highlight the complex interplay between macroeconomic indicators and labor markets in ASEAN6 and suggest the need for targeted policy responses that address structural vulnerabilities and enhance labor market resilience.
Pengaruh Variabel Ekonomi Makro dan Kebijakan Moneter Terhadap Indeks Saham di ASEAN dan Negara Maju Kartowisastro, Alif Herwinandityo; Trihadmini, Nuning
Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi (JRIE) Edisi Agustus 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23969/jrie.v4i2.114

Abstract

Pasar saham merupakan bagian penting dari pasar keuangan dalam perekonomian. Dengan menggunakan Teori Penetapan Harga Arbitrase, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel makroekonomi dan kebijakan moneter terhadap indeks saham di 5 negara ASEAN dan 4 negara maju tahun 2010-2019. Metode yang digunakan adalah Data Panel dengan menggunakan Model Efek Tetap (Fixed Effect Model/FEM). Variabel bebas makroekonomi adalah inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, dan nilai tukar, sedangkan suku bunga bank sentral merupakan variabel kebijakan moneter. Di negara ASEAN dan negara maju, inflasi dan nilai tukar berpengaruh positif terhadap kedua kelompok negara tersebut, namun pengaruhnya lebih besar terhadap negara maju, sedangkan suku bunga kebijakan berdampak negatif namun intensitas pengaruhnya di negara ASEAN lebih besar. Perbedaan dari perbandingan ini terdapat pada jumlah uang beredar, dimana ASEAN memiliki pengaruh positif, sedangkan negara maju memiliki pengaruh negatif. Hal ini dapat disebabkan oleh faktor ekspektasi inflasi, likuiditas pasar, dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Kontribusi penelitian ini bagi negara-negara ASEAN, khususnya Indonesia, adalah mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor ekonomi makro yang memengaruhi pergerakan indeks saham, membantu pembuat kebijakan dalam merumuskan kebijakan yang efektif, mengembangkan strategi investasi yang lebih baik, dan mengurangi risiko pasar.
Analysis of the Impact of Globalization and Digitalization on Welfare in ASEAN and BRICS Countries Bestari, Mohamad Fidelio Omar; Yusgiantoro, Inka Brahmantyo; Trihadmini, Nuning; Suhartoko, Yohanes Berchman
Ilomata International Journal of Management Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): January 2026
Publisher : Yayasan Sinergi Kawula Muda

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61194/ijjm.v7i1.1982

Abstract

This study investigates the multifaceted impacts of two global megatrends—globalization and digitalization—on public welfare in the ASEAN and BRICS nations from 2007 to 2024. Amid the prevailing narrative that links both phenomena to economic progress, this thesis critically analyses the influence of proxy variables for globalization (trade openness and foreign capital inflows) and digitalization (internet penetration and social media usage), alongside crucial domestic factors such as corruption and entrepreneurship, on three primary welfare indicators: per capita income, unemployment rate, and the poverty level. The principal objective of this research is to deliver nuanced empirical evidence on how the interplay of external forces and internal conditions shapes the welfare landscape in two of the world's most dynamic economic blocs. Employing a quantitative approach through panel data regression analysis, the findings reveal complex and non- uniform relationships. The analysis indicates that trade openness and internet penetration significantly contribute to a reduction in the unemployment rate. Conversely, social media usage demonstrates a negative correlation with per capita income and a positive association with rising poverty, suggesting potential counter-productive impacts and the promotion of consumptive behaviours. Furthermore, domestic governance factors, particularly corruption, are proven to have a significant influence on impeding income growth and exacerbating employment conditions. These findings affirm that the benefits of globalization and digitalization are not automatic but are heavily contingent upon the quality of domestic institutions and policies capable of optimizing opportunities and mitigating emergent risks.
Analysis of the Impact of Globalization and Digitalization on Welfare in ASEAN and BRICS Countries Bestari, Mohamad Fidelio Omar; Yusgiantoro, Inka Brahmantyo; Trihadmini, Nuning; Suhartoko, Yohanes Berchman
Ilomata International Journal of Management Vol. 7 No. 1 (2026): January 2026
Publisher : Yayasan Sinergi Kawula Muda

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61194/ijjm.v7i1.1982

Abstract

This study investigates the multifaceted impacts of two global megatrends—globalization and digitalization—on public welfare in the ASEAN and BRICS nations from 2007 to 2024. Amid the prevailing narrative that links both phenomena to economic progress, this thesis critically analyses the influence of proxy variables for globalization (trade openness and foreign capital inflows) and digitalization (internet penetration and social media usage), alongside crucial domestic factors such as corruption and entrepreneurship, on three primary welfare indicators: per capita income, unemployment rate, and the poverty level. The principal objective of this research is to deliver nuanced empirical evidence on how the interplay of external forces and internal conditions shapes the welfare landscape in two of the world's most dynamic economic blocs. Employing a quantitative approach through panel data regression analysis, the findings reveal complex and non- uniform relationships. The analysis indicates that trade openness and internet penetration significantly contribute to a reduction in the unemployment rate. Conversely, social media usage demonstrates a negative correlation with per capita income and a positive association with rising poverty, suggesting potential counter-productive impacts and the promotion of consumptive behaviours. Furthermore, domestic governance factors, particularly corruption, are proven to have a significant influence on impeding income growth and exacerbating employment conditions. These findings affirm that the benefits of globalization and digitalization are not automatic but are heavily contingent upon the quality of domestic institutions and policies capable of optimizing opportunities and mitigating emergent risks.
Dampak Multivariat Volatility, Contagion dan Spillover Effect Pasar Keuangan Global terhadap lndeks Saham dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia Trihadmini, Nuning; B. S. W., Pudjiastuti
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

There are several factors influencing the financial system stability, namely the internal and the external factors. The occurrence of stock price volatility internationally, the contagion effects and the spillover effects are some external factors that have effect on the financial system stability. This research aims to know the dynamic relationship of regional and global stocks market in international financial system, and then do the analysis of the occurrence of contagion effects and spillover effects on stock price, and see their influence on domestic economics, monetary policy and financial system stability, by GARCH-VAR model.The results of this research indicate that there are some domination of the mature financial market to regional and domestic market. Moreover, the nearby regional stock price index also have a big contribution to the movement of other regional stock price market. The impact of stock price volatility to the IDR exchange rates volatility is relatively small, but not to the price level which is significantly large. Data analysis shows that there is contagion effects in stock market, but the spillover effect from stock price volatility to exchange rates volatility does not occur.
Co-Authors B. S. W., Pudjiastuti Bestari, Mohamad Fidelio Omar Jeniko, Fiona Kartowisastro, Alif Herwinandityo Pudjiastuti B. S. W Suhartoko, Yohanes Berchman Yusgiantoro, Inka Brahmantyo