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All Journal International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Ahmed Almaghthawi
University of Jeddah
Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

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Short term residential load forecasting using long short-term memory recurrent neural network Amgad Muneer; Rao Faizan Ali; Ahmed Almaghthawi; Shakirah Mohd Taib; Amal Alghamdi; Ebrahim Abdulwasea Abdullah Ghaleb
International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE) Vol 12, No 5: October 2022
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijece.v12i5.pp5589-5599

Abstract

Load forecasting plays an essential role in power system planning. The efficiency and reliability of the whole power system can be increased with proper planning and organization. Residential load forecasting is indispensable due to its increasing role in the smart grid environment. Nowadays, smart meters can be deployed at the residential level for collecting historical data consumption of residents. Although the employment of smart meters ensures large data availability, the inconsistency of load data makes it challenging and taxing to forecast accurately. Therefore, the traditional forecasting techniques may not suffice the purpose. However, a deep learning forecasting network-based long short-term memory (LSTM) is proposed in this paper. The powerful nonlinear mapping capabilities of RNN in time series make it effective along with the higher learning capabilities of long sequences of LSTM. The proposed method is tested and validated through available real-world data sets. A comparison of LSTM is then made with two traditionally available techniques, exponential smoothing and auto-regressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA). Real data from 12 houses over three months is used to evaluate and validate the performance of load forecasts performed using the three mentioned techniques. LSTM model has achieved the best results due to its higher capability of memorizing large data in time series-based predictions.
Predicting customers churning in banking industry: A machine learning approach Amgad Muneer; Rao Faizan Ali; Amal Alghamdi; Shakirah Mohd Taib; Ahmed Almaghthawi; Ebrahim Abdulwasea Abdullah Ghaleb
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 26, No 1: April 2022
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v26.i1.pp539-549

Abstract

In this era, machines can understand human activities and their meanings. We can utilize this ability of machines in various fields or applications. One specific field of interest is a prediction of churning customers in any industry. Prediction of churning customers is the state of art approach which predicts which customer is near to leave the services of the specific bank. We can use this approach in any big organization that is very conscious about their customers. However, this study aims to develop a model that offers a meaningful churn prediction for the banking industry. For this purpose, we develop a customer churn prediction approach with the three intelligent models Random Forest (RF), AdaBoost, and Support Vector Machine (SVM). This approach achieves the best result when the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) is applied to overcome the unbalanced dataset and the combination of undersampling and oversampling. The method on SMOTED data has produced excellent results with a 91.90 F1 score and overall accuracy of 88.7% using RF. Furthermore, the experimental results show that RF yielded good results for the full feature-selected datasets.
Co-Authors Amal Alghamdi Amgad Muneer Ebrahim Abdulwasea Abdullah Ghaleb Rao Faizan Ali Shakirah Mohd Taib