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Yusbar Yusuf
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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ANALISIS KAUSALITAS ANTARA CAPITAL INFLOW DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DI INDONESIA PERIODE TAHUN 2000-2015 Royka Basri; Yusbar Yusuf; Rosyetti '
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 4, No 1 (2017): Wisuda Februari
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to determine whether there is a significant interrelationship between capital inflow and the exchange rate in Indonesia in 2000-2015. This research uses secondary data in the period 2000-2015 sourced from Bank Indonesia and the Central Bureau of Statistics. In this study using quantitative analysis method using an econometric model, namely Restricted VAR (Vector Autoregression) or called Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). This study uses an analytical tool Eviews 9.0. The unit root test results indicate that the data for capital inflow and the exchange rate is not stationary at the current level, but data capital inflow and the exchange rate at the level of the first difference stationary. Cointegration test results showed that the relationship between capital inflows and the exchange rate in Indonesia has a long-run equilibrium relationship. Granger Causality Test results reveal that there is a direct relationship capital inflow affect the exchange rate, but the exchange rate does not affect the capital inflow, which means that only happens one-way relationship. Impluse Response Function Based on the results, it was found that the capital inflow had a negative effect on the exchange rate, as well as the exchange rate has a negative effect on capital inflow. While the results of variance decomposition shows that the role of capital inflow and significant rupiah.Keywords : Capital Inflow, The Rupiah, Granger Causality, VECM.
PENGARUH KURS, INFLASI, LIBOR DAN PDB TERHADAP FOREIGN DIRECT INVESMENT (FDI) DI INDONESIA Rexsy S Tambunan; Yusbar Yusuf; Anthoni Mayes
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 2, No 1 (2015): Wisuda Februari 2015
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine the effect of the influence of Exchange Rates, Inflation, Libor, and GDP to the Foreign Direct Invesment (FDI) In Indonesia. The data used in this study is a time series data from 1998 to 2013 were sourced from Invesment Coordinating Board (Badan Koordinasi Penanaman Modal), Bank Indonesia, and Central Bureau of Statistics (Badan Pusat Statisitik). This study used quantitative research methods, and analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis using SPSS 20 application for Windows computers. In this study, the independent variable is Exchange Rates (X1), Inflation (X2), Libor (X3), and GDP (X4), while the dependent is realitation Foreign Direct Invesment (Y).This study tested the hypothesis of regression coefficient (coefficient of determination, a significant test concurrent / F test, and the significant individual test / t test). The result showed that the variable Exchange Rates, Inflation, libor and GDP at once / simultaneously have a significant influence on the realitation Foreign Direct Invesment (FDI). The individual test / partial showed that Gross Domestic Product variable acquired that contributes greater than the variable rate of Exchange Rates, Inflation,and Libor ont the realitation Foreign Direct Invesment (FDI).Keywords:Exchange Rate, Inflation, London Inter Bank Offering Rate (LIBOR), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and Foreign Direct Invesment (FDI).
PERBANDINGAN TINGKAT INFLASI PROVINSI RIAU DENGAN TINGKAT INFLASI PROVINSI YANG BERBATASAN LANGSUNG DENGAN PROVINSU RIAU (SUMATERA UTARA, SUMATERA BARAT DAN JAMBI) SELAMA PERIODE 2009 - 2013 Harry Permana Putra; Yusbar Yusuf; Syafril Basri
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2014): wisuda oktober 2014
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

Inflation is a process of rising prices in general and continuous with regard to market mechanisms induced by different factor,among other things, incrased community consumption, excess liquidity in the market that fueled the consumption or even speculation and the distribution of goods that are not fluently. In other words, inflation is also the currency values serially.Inflation is a process, not an event of high or low price levels. This means that the price level is considered high is not necessarily indicate inflation. The data used in this research is the use of secondary data which come from Bank of Indonesia, BPS, and Finance of Indonesia. The data are obtained the quarterly reports and the annual report. The research results are either quarterly or annually, inflation increases occurred at a quarterly-III every year due to the quarter to concide with Ramadhan and Eidul-Fitri.The inflation hike was mostly experienced by volatile food group. Rising inflation also accompanied the influx of new education school year due to soaring prices for all school levels. And inflation rise on quarter-III this also happens annually in every province, Riau, West Sumatera,North Sumatera dan Jambi.Keywords: Inflation
Co-Authors ', Lusiana Amanda C. Anisa Ando Fahda Aulia Anthoni Mayes Anthony Mayes Azwar Harahap Butasar, Butasar Dahlan Tampubolon Deny Setiawan Edwin Saputra Elida Ilyas Hainim Kadir Harry Permana Putra Hendro Ekwarso Khoirul Abiddin kiki Maria Monalisa Panjaitan, kiki Maria Monalisa Mairisa ' Novita Dewi Oktarianda Putra Rahmita Budiartiningsih Rexsy S Tambunan Rita Yani Iyan Rosyetti ' Royka Basri Sako Sintya Sibarani, Sako Sintya Sely Nory Tambunan, Sely Nory Sri Endang Kornita Syafril Basri Syepri M artadi Tambunan, Rexsy S. Tampati, Endro Toti Indrawati Wahyu Hamidi Yoppy Listi