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PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, INFLASI DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP PENDAPATAN NASIONAL DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN MODEL DINAMIS Zakiah Zakiah; Umaruddin Usman
Jurnal Ekonomi Regional Unimal Vol 2, No 2 (2019): JURNAL EKONOMI REGIONAL UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM UNIMAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jeru.v2i2.1698

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of the money supply, inflation and the rupiah exchange rate on national income in Indonesia. This study uses time series data from 1996-2017 obtained from www.bi.go.id, and www.bps.go.id. The tool used to analyze data is the Vector Autoregression Model (VAR) with the Impulse Respo Function (IRF). Based on research that uses the results of the VAR analysis model which shows that there is a unidirectional relationship between the variable money supply to national income and the unidirectional relationship between national income and the rupiah exchange rate. The results of the study with the analysis of the response response of the money supply took one year, the inflation variable took four years, and the exchange rate variable took three years to be stable after the shock caused by other variables in the study.
PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO, INVESTASI INDUTRI KECIL DAN JUMLAH PENDUDUK TERHADAP KEMISKINAN KOTA LHOKSEUMAWE (Studi Kasus Tahun 2006-2016) Evi Berutu; Umaruddin Usman
Jurnal Ekonomi Regional Unimal Vol 1, No 1 (2018): JURNAL EKONOMI REGIONAL UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM UNIMAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jeru.v1i1.969

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui seberapa besar pengaruh PDRB, Investasi Industri Kecil, dan Jumlah penduduk terhadap Kemiskinan di Kota Lhokseumawe, data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder yang bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik Kota Lhokseumawe, dengan periode waktu 2006-2016. Metode Penelitian menggunakan analisis regresiberganda dengan bantuan program eviews 9. Hasil penelitian secara parsial menunjukkan PDRB berpengaruh secara positif terhadap Kemiskinan, Investasi Industri Kecil berpengaruh secara negativ dan singnifikan terhadap kemiskinan, dan jumlah penduduk tidak berpengaruh secara singnifikan terhadap Kemiskinan, namun secara bersama-sama variabel PDRB, Investasi Industri Kecil, dan Jumlah Penduduk secara positif dan singnifikan terhadap kemiskinan. Besarnya pengaruh variabel PDRB, Investasi Industri Kecil dan Jumlah Penduduk terhadap Kemiskinan adalah sebesar 0.4545 atau sebesar 45.45% sementara sisanya yaitu 0.5455 atau 54.55% dipengaruhi oleh variabel lain. Kata Kunci : PDRB, Investasi Industri Kecil, Jumlah Penduduk dan Kemiskinan 
FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EKSPOR CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA PERIODE 1992-2025 umaruddin usman; Fanny Nailufar
Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Unimal Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN UNIMAL
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Malikussaleh - Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29103/jepu.v9i1.28636

Abstract

The aim of this research is to examine how much of an impact land area and CPO production make onIndonesia’s CPO exports between 1992 and 2025. There has been an ongoing trend of an increasing amount ofCPO exports by Indonesia as a result of high international demand coming from such countries as India, China,and Pakistan. Nevertheless, the quantity of the exports is affected by numerous internal factors among whichone can name the CPO production and the land area. The stability of the CPO production as a key non-oil andgas export commodity should be preserved, and it is necessary to determine the factors that have a strong effecton Indonesia’s CPO exports. This study will consider the internal factors of oil palm land area and CPOproduction as one model within the period of 1991-2025 (34 years). This research adopts a time series data setof a longer duration compared to previous researchers; hence, it enables a more stable and comprehensiveanalysis of the dynamic of CPO exports of Indonesia. The model employed in this research is the ordinary leastsquares (OLS) method for identifying the direction and intensity of impact of each variable both concurrentlyand partially on CPO exports. The findings of this research show that the plantation area of oil palms and theproduction of CPO have a positive and significant impact on CPO exports of Indonesia. Higher production ofCPO and optimal utilization of productive land areas are among the major elements that enhance CPO exportsof Indonesia in the period between 1992 and 2025. However, export performance is further shaped by externalfactors, such as fluctuations in global CPO prices, movements in the rupiah exchange rate, international tradepolicies, and sustainability regulations imposed by destination countries.