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Nugroho Suryo Bintoro
Brawijaya University
Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media

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Inflation Volatility and COVID-19 In Indonesian: ARIMA Method Nugroho Suryo Bintoro; Kartika Sari
Journal of International Conference Proceedings (JICP) Vol 5, No 2 (2022): BEFIC Conference Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v5i2.1700

Abstract

Inflation is one of the most widely tested economic variables both theoretically and empirically. Stable inflation is a sign that sustainable economic growth provides benefits for improving people's welfare. This study aims to analyze the impact of Covid-19 on volatility inflation in Indonesian. The method used in this study is the ARIMA model. The results of this study are the ARMA (1.1.0) model suitable for testing inflation volatility in Indonesia. Forecasting results show that inflation over the next 5 months or until December 2022 tends to decrease. From the prediction results, the policy that can be applied to business sector actors is to carry out operational (marketing) activities carried out with an online system. The next policy that can be applied to companies is tax relaxation and easy access to credit to banks. Finally, the policies that can be applied due to the decline in commodity prices in the food and beverage and tobacco sectors are capital assistance and production equipment assistance for business actors.Keywords: Volatility, Inflation, ARIMA, COVID19, Forecasting
Determinants of Household Food Security Based On The Status of Human Development Index (HDI) in the Province of West Nusa Tenggara Yeyen Anisa Yudita; Khusnul Ashar; Nugroho Suryo Bintoro
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 5, No 4 (2022): FEBIC International Conference Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v5i4.1910

Abstract

This study aims to determine the determinants or factors that affect household food security in areas with moderate HDI status and areas with high HDI status. Based on the data of the National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS) March 2021 from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), this study is conducted by using multinomial logistic regression method to archieve the objective. The results show that poverty status, dummy recipients of the BPNT program, presence of toilets and presence of toddlers have significant effect to the food security household in areas with high HDI status. While in areas with moderate HDI status, the factors that affect household food security are poverty status, gender of the head of the household, classification of residential area, presence of toilets and presence of toddlers. From this research it is necessary to apply policies that can strengthen household food security in both the moderata HDI and high HDI areas, especially in poor households with toddlers.
The Relationship Between Minimum Wage and Education Index with Unemployment in the Regencies and Cities of East Java Hafis Demas Affandi; Wildan Syafitri; Nugroho Suryo Bintoro
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 6, No 2 (2023): 2023 ICPM Bandung Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v6i2.2335

Abstract

Unemployment is an interesting topic to discuss because it is an endless issue, and several factors influencing unemployment can be very complex. Unemployment is a problem that is always present and never-ending for debate. This study aims to examine the effect of Minimum Wage and Education Index on Unemployment in the Regencies and Cities of East Java during the research period of 2010-2022. The data used in this study are secondary data of a panel type, consisting of 13 years of time series data from 2010 to 2022, and cross-sectional data of 38 Regencies/Cities in East Java sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The data is quantitative and processed using multiple linear regression analysis. The study found that the minimum wage (X1) variable has a significant positive impact on unemployment, the education index (X2) variable has a significant positive impact on unemployment (Y), and both the minimum wage (X1) and education index (X2) variables together have an impact on unemployment (Y) in the Regencies and Cities of East Java.
Co-Authors Hafis Demas Affandi Kartika Sari Khusnul Ashar Wildan Syafitri Yeyen Anisa Yudita