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All Journal Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Economics Development Analysis Journal
I Gede Putu Dharma Yusa
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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ANALISIS KETERKAITAN DAN DAMPAK PERMINTAAN AKHIR TERHADAP SEKTOR PRODUKSI PANGAN DI INDONESIA I Gede Putu Dharma Yusa
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2019 No 1 (2019): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2019
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (131.642 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2019i1.172

Abstract

Sektor produksi pangan menduduki peran vital dalam pembangunan. Sektor ini menyumbang porsi besar dalam perekonomian karena besarnya pengaruh permintaan akhir. Namun, seberapa besar dampak permintaan akhir tersebut terhadap sektor produksi pangan dan keterkaitan sektor produksi pangan terhadap sektor-sektor ekonomi lainnya, belum dikaji secara komprehensif menggunakan kerangka data ekonomi yang utuh. Penelitian ini menggunakan perangkat Tabel Input-Output untuk menjawab interaksi sektor produksi pangan dengan sektor ekonomi lainnya. Data yang digunakan adalah Tabel Input-Output Indonesia yang telah dilakukan updating ke dalam tahun 2014 dan 2018 menggunakan metode RAS serta agregasi kategori dari 185 produk ke dalam 39 kategori lapangan usaha dengan merinci sektor-sektor produksi pangan. Hasilnya, sektor industri makanan dan minuman (S6) merupakan sektor kunci produksi pangan di Indonesia karena mempunyai keterkaitan yang paling kuat dengan sektor-sektor ekonomi lainnya serta mempunyai dampak permintaan akhir yang paling besar dibandingkan sektor-sektor produksi pangan lainnya. Sektor industri makanan dan minuman adalah satu-satunya sektor produksi pangan yang berada pada kuadran I dengan Indeks Daya Penyebaran (IDP) dan Indeks Derajat Kepekaan (IDK) di atas 1. Selain itu, sektor ini juga mempunyai angka pengganda output terbesar pada tahun 2018, yaitu 2,60. Artinya, kenaikan permintaan akhir sektor industri makanan dan minuman sebesar 1 rupiah akan mampu meningkatkan total output perekonomian sebesar 2,60 rupiah.
DEKOMPOSISI AGE PROFILE PENGELUARAN KESEHATAN DAN KETERKAITANNYA DENGAN PANDEMI COVID-19 I Gede Putu Dharma Yusa
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2020 No 1 (2020): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2020
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (218.711 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2020i1.711

Abstract

Pandemi Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) menyebabkan fokus perhatian tertuju pada sektor kesehatan. Pemerintah mengalokasikan anggaran penanganan pandemi COVID-19 sebesar 677,2 triliun Rupiah, di mana 87,55 triliun Rupiah diantaranya diperuntukkan untuk sektor kesehatan. Belanja kesehatan penduduk selama pandemi COVID-19 pun turut mengalami perubahan karena penurunan pendapatan masyarakat dan prioritas kebutuhan pada kesehatan. Adanya kelompok usia rentan dan tidak rentan dan transfer belanja kesehatan dari pemerintah diperkirakan akan mengubah pola pengeluaran pendapatan secara privat dan publik serta menurut kelompok usia. Salah satu instrumen yang dapat digunakan untuk menggambarkan perubahan ini adalah age profile pengeluaran kesehatan sebagai bagian dari Life Cycle Deficit pada neraca National Transfer Accounts (NTA). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah hasil Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional (Susenas) 2018 dan kasus COVID-19 per tanggal 18 Agustus 2020. Metode estimasi age profile menggunakan metode langsung dengan teknik smoothing Friedman’s Super Smoother. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa age profile pengeluaran kesehatan di Indonesia berbentuk seperti lembah dan bukit, di mana puncak konsumsi berada pada rentang usia lanjut (66-82 tahun). Rentang usia lanjut tersebut tergolong kelompok usia rentan yang juga tercatat menjadi kelompok dengan kasus meninggal akibat COVID-19 yang cukup tinggi. Selain itu, pandemi COVID-19 juga berpotensi memengaruhi age profile pengeluaran kesehatan penduduk pada tahun 2020, di mana dampak tertinggi akan dirasakan pada kelompok usia 19-30 tahun.
Analisis Input-Output COVID-19: Mengukur Dampak Ekonomi Kebijakan Penanganan Pandemi COVID-19 di Indonesia I Gede Putu Dharma Yusa
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (308.982 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.911

Abstract

Policies for handling the COVID-19 pandemic that limit mobility had an impact on economic performance. Restrictions on a certain sector will have an impact to the others. Therefore, to measure it, it is necessary to have a tool that describes the linkages between economic sectors comprehensively. This study used restriction and extraction Input-Output Table approach to answer these problems, by measuring changes in output and income that occur according to restriction scenarios. There are three scenarios designed: limiting the working age of Work From Office (WFO), setting the WFO and Work From Home (WFH) system, and limiting working hours. The results, limiting the working age of WFO as well as setting the WFO and WFH systems are still able to increase the output and income of workers up to 11,16 percent and 8,85 percent respectively. Meanwhile, in the scenario of limiting working hours, there is a decrease in the output and income of workers by 23,87 percent and 38,78 percent respectively.
Does Financial Inclusion Enhance Indonesia's First Demographic Dividend? I Gede Putu Dharma Yusa; Aziz Wahyu Suprayitno; Faiz Abdullah Wafi
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v14i1.14913

Abstract

This study examines whether financial inclusion enhances the first demographic dividend in Indonesia. Using a household-level approach, we measure the first demographic dividend through the economic support ratio and per capita expenditure, while financial inclusion is assessed based on savings account ownership in formal financial institutions. The research utilizes data from the 2022 National Socio-Economic Survey (Susenas) and applies a multiple linear regression model estimated via the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. Empirical findings indicate that financial inclusion and the economic support ratio significantly enhance the first demographic dividend, as reflected in increased per capita expenditure. However, nearly one-third of households still lack access to formal financial institutions, with evidence suggesting a concentration of savings account ownership within specific households. Subsample analysis underscores the need to optimize the demographic dividend through financial inclusion, particularly for households headed by females, those engaged in agriculture and the informal sector, poor households, and those in rural areas and outside Java. Therefore, we recommend that the financial industry expand its services beyond its current target market and proactively tailor financial products to meet the diverse needs of the Indonesian population.
How the Demographic Dividend Affects Economic Convergence: Insights from Indonesia I Gede Putu Dharma Yusa; Beta Yulianita Gitaharie
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol. 13 No. 3 (2024): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v13i3.11755

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of the demographic dividend on the convergence of regional economic growth in Indonesia post-fiscal decentralization from 2001-2023. Considering the two phases of the demographic dividend, namely the first dividend measured by economic support ratio and the second dividend measured by the accumulation of human capital, this paper uses the frontier and the conventional convergence approaches. The models are empirically estimated by static (Ordinary Least Square, fixed effect, random effect) and dynamic (Generalized Method of Moments) panel data regressions. The results confirm that per capita income growth in Indonesia’s provinces is converging, using both the frontier and conventional approaches. This implies that provinces with low per capita income are catching up to the national average and higher-income provinces. However, the convergence speed is relatively slow and takes a long time (878-1,525 years) to achieve the half-convergence stage. Demographic dividend interventions, such as improving economic support ratio and human capital, significantly boost convergence speed and reduce the time needed for half-convergence. Further analysis indicates that slow convergence may be due to the low-level equilibrium trap in fertility rates and economic support ratios, hindering regional economic growth convergence in Indonesia.
Co-Authors Aziz Wahyu Suprayitno Beta Yulianita Gitaharie Faiz Abdullah Wafi