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Prediksi Curah Hujan Bulanan Kabupaten Trenggalek Tahun 2022 dan 2023 Menggunakan Metode ARIMA Rafi Prayoga Dhenanta; Isna Binti Kholifah
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2022 No 1 (2022): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2022
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (315.725 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2022i1.1368

Abstract

Rainfall was a climate measurement used as a proxy for the numbers of rain water dropped on a certain place and time of measurement. Monthly rainfall was usually used as a basis on determining the planting season of some farm commodities, eg. rice that had become Indonesian main energy source for years. Knowing the forecast of rainfall would help the farmers, moreover if their fields were rain fed, schedule their planting season or even help them choose the commodities to plant. This research used ARIMA time series model for modeling historical data of rainfall in Trenggalek Regency and then forecasting the model up to two years in the future. This approach resulted in the model that best suited the data was ARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,0) with seasonality of 12 using Box-Cox transformation beforehand. Lastly, this result was applied in agricultural sector to determine the planting times of rice in Trenggalek Regency.
Dogfight dari Sudut Pandang Teori Permainan Rafi Prayoga Dhenanta; Aditya Purwa Santika
The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science Vol. 14 No. 4 (2025): The Indonesian Journal of Computer Science
Publisher : AI Society & STMIK Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33022/ijcs.v14i4.4902

Abstract

Dogfight is one of many scenarios happening in a battle for air-superiority. This research delves deeper into dogfight, using the perspectives of game theory. The purpose of this research is to model a strategy that can be used in a dogfight. This research models dogfight into game theory’s extensive-form-games and then simulates the model ccompuationally. From the simulation, the model developed in this research increases the winning rate of a certain player significantly.