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Flypaper Effect: The Shifting Unconditional Transfer and Private Income in Indonesia Sherlita Nurosidah; Mohamad Khusaini; Ferry Prasetyia
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 5, No 4 (2022): FEBIC International Conference Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v5i4.1935

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the behavioral pattern of local government as seen from their spending regarding unconditional transfer and private income. Flypaper effect has been a major phenomenon in academic research. Nevertheless, in Indonesia, such research, especially the one focusing on the shift of unconditional transfer and private income, never been caried out. Over 22 years, Indonesia has been implementing decentralization which makes it more intriguing to see local governments’ budget and spending decisions’ motives. This paper uses a panel data from 476 districts and cities in Indonesia for 11 years. Classical assumption tests, endogeneity test as well as instrumental validation test were caried out before doing the regression. The result from two-stage least square regression shows that flypaper effect does not present in total spending yet appears in four other kinds of spending. Asymmetric response of those five are quite varied. Total expenditure and capital expenditure have symmetrical response. Meanwhile, operational spending and transfer spending have a fiscal replacement type of asymmetry. On the other hand, unexpected spending shows a fiscal restraint asymmetry. The direction of private income’s influence to spending also seen to be different from one another.
Intergovernmental Transfers Reduction Policy and Flypaper Effect: Case of Covid-19 Pandemic in Indonesia Sherlita Nurosidah; Mohamad Khusaini; Ferry Prasetyia
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Vol 15, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.17977/um002v15i12023p001

Abstract

This study empirically examines the influence of intergovernmental transfers and the fall of it to local government’s expenditure in Indonesia as well as the possibility of flypaper effect occurrence over pandemic. Over the years, in general, intergovernmental transfers in Indonesia was increasing since decentralization was applied in 2000 till the pandemic hit the country which made the regulator for the first time in 20 years decided to cut overall transfers for municipalities in order to recover economically. A set of cross-section data used in this study is the year 2020 from 34 provinces, 417 regencies, dan 91 cities. The result of pooled OLS regression model shows that flypaper effect does appear for all types of expenditures, such as total expenditure, capital expenditure, and operational expenditure of the local government. Asymmetric response of those three are quite varied. Total expenditure shows asymmetry whereas capital and operational expenditures find the opposite.