Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2020 - 2025
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Muhammad Adisurya Pratama
Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, Lambung Mangkurat University, Banjarmasin, Indonesia.
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Will Indonesia enter the 2023 financial crisis? Application of early warning model system Anggito Abimanyu; Muhammad Handry Imansyah; Muhammad Adisurya Pratama
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 15 Issue 1, 2023
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol15.iss1.art3

Abstract

Purpose ― This paper estimates the possibility of a financial crisis in Indonesia using an early warning system (EWMS) model. Method ― A quantitative EWMS model has been developed to detect a potential financial crisis in 2023 based on the econometric logistic probability model (Logit) Findings ― Based on the model estimates, Indonesia is expected to enter a financial crisis without adequate macroeconomic policies in the next 12 to 24 months. In recent years, Indonesia has implemented prudent macroeconomic policies such as increasing the Bank Indonesia policy rate and sustaining the state budget to avoid the impact of a deep financial crisis. Implications ― To avoid the potential for further financial crises, Indonesia must implement a wider range of crisis mitigation policies. Originality/value ― Although many argue that financial crises are predictable, it has been demonstrated in the literature that little is known about how to prevent them. This paper contributes to providing empirical evidence to address these issues.
Co-Authors Anggito Abimanyu Muhammad Handry Imansyah