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SOUVENIR SALES FORECASTING ANALYSIS USING SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT APPROACH (CASE STUDY: SOUVENIR ORCHID SHOP) Syarifuddin Syarifuddin; Nursalim Nursalim; Ivonne Ayesha; Eva Desembrianita
Jurnal Sistem Informasi Vol 15, No 2 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36706/jsi.v15i2.22294

Abstract

Orchid Souvenir Shop is a business that provides various types of souvenirs and handicraft items. The purpose of the study is to forecast the stock of wedding souvenir products by empirically testing the facts or elements of the existence of supply chain management by analyzing industrial processes. Demand management activities need to be supported by the administration's systematic and easy demand forecasting process so that fast and accurate information can be obtained to support the MTO-based decision-making process (make-to-order). The demand forecasting method can reduce the risk of product obsolescence and unmet consumer needs and solve material supply problems. Decisions in supply chain management aim to reduce waste and optimize value for all components in the supply chain. Demand forecasting uses time series analysis with moving averages, exponential smoothing, and trend projection methods. To measure the accuracy of forecasting results, analysis using MSE, MAD, and MAPE is used.
Analysis of the Development of an Investment Risk Assessment Model at Bank Syariah Indonesia, Tamalanrea Branch, Makassar City Syarifuddin Syarifuddin
OIKONOMIKA : Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Syariah Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): OIKONOMIKA: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan Syariah
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Syariah, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam, IAIN Fattahul Muluk Papua

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53491/oikonomika.v6i2.1916

Abstract

Sharia financial institutions play an important role in identifying, measuring, and managing risks related to operations and financial products to ensure compliance with sharia principles. This study aims to determine how customer investment risk is developed at Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) and what is the appropriate evaluation model to address the risks that occur when investing in Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) Tamalanrea Branch, Makassar City. This study uses qualitative research with a descriptive approach and data collection methods through observation and interviews, as well as analysis tools that utilise data reduction. The results of the study show that, first, the development of investment risk in Islamic banks includes financing, market, and reputation risks, which must be managed effectively through comprehensive risk management. Second, the appropriate evaluation models to address the risks that occur when investing in the Indonesian Islamic Bank (BSI) Tamalanrea Branch in Makassar are Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) and Value at Risk (VaR), which are proposed to improve the bank's performance and transparency. This study provides insight into the importance of risk management techniques in supporting the growth and sustainability of Islamic banking in Indonesia.